Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
2 signals across 1 market · $8,023 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether a natural meteoroid will explode in Earth’s atmosphere with energy of at least 10 kilotons of TNT during 2026. PolySpotter is monitoring the market’s odds and smart money activity; a profitable serial bettor has recently bought No.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Linked sharp bettors scaling into No
Three linked wallets, including highly profitable and proven bettors, are adding a concentrated No position in a relatively thin market.
$6,489Score: 7.9 - Profitable serial bettor buys No
A highly experienced bettor with 1,081 resolved positions and substantial profits made a sizable No bet in a thin, wide-spread market.
$1,534Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 5.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf2f6af…5817$1,534 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds of a major meteor strike in 2026?
The live Yes and No prices represent the market-implied odds for a natural meteoroid airburst reaching at least 10 kilotons of TNT equivalent during 2026. Check the event page for current prices, volume, and changes.
What is smart money betting on in this meteor market?
PolySpotter has tracked one smart money signal totaling $1,534 across the event. The latest alert reports that a profitable serial bettor bought No.
What qualifies as a major meteor strike for this prediction market?
The event qualifies if a natural meteoroid, or bolide, explodes in Earth’s atmosphere with total impact energy of at least 10 kilotons of TNT equivalent. Artificial objects and reentry vehicles do not qualify.
When does the major meteor strike market resolve?
The market covers January 1 through December 31, 2026, ending at 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Its primary resolution source is NASA’s JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository.