Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
4 signals across 4 markets · $10,916 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027
This Polymarket event tracks whether MetaMask’s token will reach a fully diluted valuation above $2B one day after launch. Traders are pricing the token launch outcome, with PolySpotter flagging a sharp bettor buying into a thin crypto launch market.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- 90% win-rate crypto sharp
A highly profitable 90% win-rate serial cross-market trader bought Yes in a quiet Metamask FDV market, with the trade exceeding recent daily volume.
$1,415Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 10.0 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought No on a thin Metamask FDV market, taking a position worth about 70% of the day's volume.
$2,323Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 4.5 - Profitable sharp on quiet market
Profitable 79% winner made a $6k No bet on a nearly inactive Metamask FDV market, far exceeding the last 24h volume.
$6,000Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 3.5 - Sharp bettor buys thin crypto launch
Sharp wallet override: an 86% winner with positive lifetime P&L is effectively buying Yes on a thin crypto launch valuation market.
$1,178Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 1.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x3b6344…27a7$6,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0x993f45…3ee3$2,323 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0x76cf02…9452$1,415 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0x314f23…220a$1,178 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
FAQs
What are the current MetaMask FDV odds on Polymarket?
This event shows the market-implied odds that MetaMask’s token fully diluted valuation will be above $2B one day after launch. The odds can move quickly as traders react to token launch rumors, liquidity expectations, and crypto market conditions.
What does this MetaMask prediction market cover?
The event covers the outcome of whether MetaMask’s token FDV is above the listed threshold, currently $2B, at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. If the token does not launch by the market deadline, the rules specify how the market resolves.
What is the smart money doing on MetaMask FDV?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,178 in smart money activity across this event, including a signal that a sharp bettor bought into a thin crypto launch market. That suggests notable interest, though low liquidity can make prices more volatile.
When does the MetaMask FDV market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. If MetaMask launches a publicly transferable and tradable token before then, the key valuation check happens at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch.
How is MetaMask’s FDV determined for this market?
Resolution is based on the most liquid available price source for the token after launch. Fully diluted valuation generally reflects token price multiplied by total token supply, subject to the market’s official resolution rules.