Part of: Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
This prediction market asks whether MetaMask’s token will have a fully diluted valuation above $2 billion one day after its launch. It resolves based on the most liquid available price source at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after the token becomes publicly transferable and tradable, with final resolution by Jan. 1, 2027 if no qualifying launch occurs. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,178 in smart money across 1 signal, including a recent sharp-bettor buy in a thin crypto launch market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,178.
Categories: Crypto, Pre-Market, Metamask, Token Sales, FDV
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor buys thin crypto launch
Sharp wallet override: an 86% winner with positive lifetime P&L is effectively buying Yes on a thin crypto launch valuation market.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $424 lifetime.
- The trade is effectively a BUY on Yes at 13¢, against a quiet market with wide spreads.
- Their $1.2K position was large relative to recent activity, suggesting real conviction.
$1,178 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0xa800...bd7a — Yes, $7,073 (69% win rate)
- 0x014c...820c — No, $4,170 (41% win rate)
- 0xd331...733c — No, $3,360 (71% win rate)
- 0x3934...8352 — No, $1,700 (53% win rate)
- 0xd509...c458 — Yes, $1,690
- 0x1d5d...c305 — Yes, $1,124
- 0x6305...9d0b — Yes, $1,063 (71% win rate)
- 0x05ab...8145 — No, $1,045 (45% win rate)
- 0xcdc0...dcd8 — No, $988
- 0x87fa...7464 — No, $932 (94% win rate)
