Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
9 signals across 4 markets · $52,244 tracked · resolves Sep 12, 2026
The Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Polymarket event tracks the game winner and the Red Sox -1.5 run-line outcome ahead of the scheduled September 5 matchup. PolySpotter has tracked $8,736 in smart money across two signals, including a dominant Orioles bet from a veteran trader and activity from a perfect-record serial cross-market bettor.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- 96% winner scaling into Under
A highly profitable, 96% win-rate sports trader is adding to an Under position, with six linked wallets also flagged.
$2,082Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 9.5 - 91% win-rate bettor buys Boston
A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial implied-odds edge placed a fresh $4,041 bet in a thin market after a sharp price rise.
$4,041Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 5.7 - 92% winner scaling into Boston
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 92% win rate and 41% edge is adding $25,000 to an existing Boston position.
$25,000Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.6 - Perfect-record serial cross-market bettor
A proven bettor with a perfect 22-0 record and substantial edge is backing Baltimore at 57%.
$1,216Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.4 - Profitable serial bettor adds to Boston
A highly profitable serial bettor added to an existing Boston position during an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the 60% win rate does not show exceptional odds-adjusted edge.
$2,404Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 4.4 - Veteran trader makes dominant Orioles bet
An exceptionally experienced, highly profitable sports-market trader placed a $7.5K Orioles bet that dominates reported 24-hour activity, though the historical edge is modest relative to entry prices.
$7,520Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 4.0 - Profitable bettor buys Orioles into volume spike
A highly profitable, experienced bettor placed a concentrated $5,354 Orioles position during an extreme pre-event volume spike, despite limited corroborating signals.
$5,354Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 3.1 - Serial trader before major price breakout
A highly experienced serial trader bought Boston at 88 cents before a 30-point price breakout, though the wallet's overall win rate does not show a clear edge over its entry prices.
$2,210Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 3.0 - Proven high-volume sports bettor
A highly experienced bettor with 7,896 resolved trades, a 66% win rate, and $6.8M profit made a fresh $2,418 Orioles bet, though the market has since moved against it.
$2,418Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 0.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0xb9392e…da70$25,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x224a89…a3d5$7,772 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 66% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$7,520 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0x927cf2…6633$4,041 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0xbca08c…9705$2,404 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0xd1ed12…d7cb$2,210 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0xc34b49…9296$2,082 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xa8b380…aeb0$1,216 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
FAQs
What markets are available for Red Sox vs. Orioles?
This event includes a winner market for Boston or Baltimore and a spread market asking whether the Red Sox win by more than 1.5 runs.
What are the Red Sox vs. Orioles prediction-market odds?
The latest probabilities and prices are shown on the PolySpotter event page, covering both the game winner and Red Sox -1.5 spread markets.
What is smart money doing in the Red Sox vs. Orioles market?
PolySpotter has tracked $8,736 in smart money across two signals, including a veteran trader making a dominant Orioles bet and activity from a perfect-record serial cross-market bettor.
When does the Red Sox vs. Orioles market resolve?
The event resolves after the game is completed. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is played; if it is canceled without a makeup game or ends in a tie, the winner market resolves 50-50.
When is the Red Sox vs. Orioles game scheduled?
The game is scheduled for September 5 at 7:05 PM Eastern Time.