Part of: Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,906.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Serial trader before major price breakout
A highly experienced serial trader bought Boston at 88 cents before a 30-point price breakout, though the wallet's overall win rate does not show a clear edge over its entry prices.
- This wallet has traded across 1,078 events and generated $1.8 million in profit.
- A $2,210 Boston purchase at 88¢ preceded a move to 94¢ and a 36.5% daily price increase.
- The 63% lifetime win rate is notable, but not enough by itself to establish a strong pricing edge.
$2,210 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 63%
92% winner scaling into Boston
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 92% win rate and 41% edge is adding $25,000 to an existing Boston position.
- This bettor has won 22 of 24 resolved trades, with a $298,312 profit and average entry odds of 51%.
- They are adding $25,000 to an existing Boston position, showing increased conviction despite the market being near 50-50.
- The Boston shares were bought around 52.6¢, implying the bettor sees meaningful value at near-even odds.
$25,000 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 93%
Proven high-volume sports bettor
A highly experienced bettor with 7,896 resolved trades, a 66% win rate, and $6.8M profit made a fresh $2,418 Orioles bet, though the market has since moved against it.
- This bettor wins 66% of 7,896 resolved trades and is up $6.8M overall.
- They made a fresh $2,418 bet on Baltimore at 59¢ despite the market now pricing the team near 50%.
- The wallet has traded across 920 events and nearly $14M in volume, making this a substantial track-record signal rather than a random wager.
$2,418 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable serial bettor adds to Boston
A highly profitable serial bettor added to an existing Boston position during an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the 60% win rate does not show exceptional odds-adjusted edge.
- This bettor is up $1.97 million across 18,931 resolved trades and is adding to an existing Boston position.
- The market saw a 4,192x spike versus its historical trading volume, with Boston bought at 48¢.
- The trader already has $11,495 invested in Boston, signaling increased conviction rather than a routine one-off bet.
$2,404 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable bettor buys Orioles into volume spike
A highly profitable, experienced bettor placed a concentrated $5,354 Orioles position during an extreme pre-event volume spike, despite limited corroborating signals.
- This bettor is up $6.76 million across 7,892 resolved trades with a 66% win rate.
- They placed $5,354 on Baltimore at 50¢ during a volume spike more than 4,000 times the historical average.
- The Orioles price has since slipped to 48¢, creating a potentially favorable entry if the original thesis remains valid.
$5,354 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 66%
Veteran trader makes dominant Orioles bet
An exceptionally experienced, highly profitable sports-market trader placed a $7.5K Orioles bet that dominates reported 24-hour activity, though the historical edge is modest relative to entry prices.
- This bettor has won 34,090 of 52,062 resolved trades and is up $47.6 million lifetime.
- The $7,520 Orioles position represents roughly 76% of the reported 24-hour volume, signaling strong concentration in a relatively quiet market.
- The trade bought Baltimore at 44¢ while the market currently prices them near 46%, leaving room to enter up to 54¢.
$7,520 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 65%
Top Holders
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 73070049, $73,304 (49% win rate)
- 0x2b34...176e — Outcome 73070049, $4,463 (100% win rate)
- 0x519d...37a1 — Outcome 73070049, $2,150
- 0xdb83...1e50 — Outcome 73070049, $1,699 (65% win rate)
- 0xa270...f5e6 — Outcome 73070049, $1,369
- 0x18bb...e5cd — Outcome 73070049, $1,145 (70% win rate)
- 0x9707...e3bc — Outcome 73070049, $1,000 (83% win rate)
- 0xe65b...271b — Outcome 73070049, $1,000 (78% win rate)
- 0x0f82...9ae1 — Outcome 73070049, $993 (61% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 73070049, $601 (70% win rate)
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