Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians
15 signals across 3 markets · $127,922 tracked · resolves May 23, 2026
This event tracks the prediction-market odds for the Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB game, with traders pricing which team will win. PolySpotter has detected $5,051 in smart money activity across the event, including a signal from a 90% win-rate sports sharp.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Elite 93% win-rate sharp
Elite profitable sports bettor with a 93% long-run win rate bought Cincinnati Reds +1.5 and the market has already moved in their direction.
$1,121Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 9.3 - 92% winner backs Reds
Sharp MLB bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and $249k profit bought $14k of Reds amid a major pre-game volume spike.
$13,991Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 9.2 - 94% sharp sports bettor
Sharp sports wallet with a 94% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Cincinnati +1.5 at 59¢.
$4,382Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 9.0 - Elite 87% sports bettor
Elite sports bettor with an 87% long-run win rate and $2.3M profit is buying Cincinnati at 40¢.
$4,193Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 9.0 - 90% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 90% win rate and $869k lifetime profit bought $5.1k of Cincinnati Reds at 39¢.
$5,051Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 8.0 - 90% sports sharp buying Over
A highly profitable sharp sports bettor with a 90% record and extensive cross-market history bought Over at even odds.
$1,689Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 8.0 - 99% win-rate sports sharp
Surfacing because a highly profitable sports bettor with a 123-1 resolved record bought Cincinnati at 42¢.
$1,137Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 8.0 - Coordinated Reds steam move
Coordinated one-sided Reds buying across 4 wallets drove an 18.9x volume spike and rapid 14-point price move in a liquid MLB market.
$16,311Score: 7.2 - Three-wallet Reds momentum
Three wallets bought the Reds during a sharp 38-point odds move, but the wallets have mixed track records and the best entry appears to have already passed.
$4,139Score: 7.1 - 92% winner backs Reds
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate put $64.8k on the Reds, backed by a strong serial cross-market track record.
$64,787Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 6.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x4be1fa…aa70$78,778 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 60% wins
- 0x16bb99…8492$6,740 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 93% wins
- 0xe5efd6…9e7a$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
- 0xd81e5b…e3d0$4,382 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x27f738…44b0$4,193 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0x52e3c7…3337$2,658 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0x4eefda…3fcb$1,225 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x09af20…9728$1,137 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0xd3b560…a2a7$1,131 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
- 0x161a7f…4103$1,121 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
FAQs
What are the current Reds vs Guardians prediction market odds?
The live odds move as Polymarket traders buy and sell positions on whether the Cincinnati Reds or Cleveland Guardians will win. PolySpotter tracks those market moves alongside smart money activity.
What is the smart money doing on Reds vs Guardians?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,051 in smart money on this event, including an alert tied to a 90% win-rate sports sharp. That signal can help show where experienced bettors may be leaning, but odds can change quickly before and during the game.
How does this Polymarket event resolve?
The market resolves to Cincinnati Reds if the Reds win, or Cleveland Guardians if the Guardians win. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.
When is the Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians game?
The game is scheduled for May 16 at 6:10 PM ET. The event is expected to resolve after the final result is official, subject to postponement or cancellation rules.