Part of: Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for May 16 at 6:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,127.

Categories: MLB, Sports, Games, baseball

Notable Trades

Proven serial sports bettor

Surfaced because this is a proven serial cross-market sports bettor with a 79% win rate and positive lifetime P&L buying Cleveland at 60¢.

  • This bettor has won 79% of 259 resolved bets and is up $110,761 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 50 events with over $1.67M in tracked cross-market volume.
  • Buying Cleveland at 60¢ suggests a clean directional view despite a fairly liquid market.

$1,225 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 79%

Elite 87% sports bettor

Elite sports bettor with an 87% long-run win rate and $2.3M profit is buying Cincinnati at 40¢.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
  • They have traded 637 events with nearly $5.9M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 40¢ implies they see Cincinnati as underpriced versus the market’s 40/60 split.

$4,193 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 87%

Profitable serial bettor

Profitable high-volume bettor with a 70% record across 639 resolved markets is buying Cincinnati at 40¢ despite only a moderate signal score.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 639 resolved bets and is up $88.8K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 36 events with $178.8K in tracked cross-market volume.
  • Entry at 40¢ implies a 2.5x payout if Cincinnati wins.

$2,658 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 70%

90% win-rate sports sharp

Sharp sports bettor with a 90% win rate and $869k lifetime profit bought $5.1k of Cincinnati Reds at 39¢.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved bets and is up $869k lifetime.
  • They have traded 141 sports events with $1.7M total volume, showing a long track record rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 39¢ implies they see the Reds as mispriced versus the market’s 40% current odds.

$5,051 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0x16bb...8492 Cincinnati Reds, $12,952 (90% win rate)
  2. 0xd48a...6e90 Cleveland Guardians, $11,991 (67% win rate)
  3. 0x27f7...44b0 Cincinnati Reds, $10,483 (87% win rate)
  4. 0x4f29...7a7e Cleveland Guardians, $6,717 (53% win rate)
  5. 0x52e3...3337 Cincinnati Reds, $6,400 (70% win rate)
  6. 0x6d3c...d294 Cleveland Guardians, $4,039 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x4379...2e16 Cleveland Guardians, $3,000 (53% win rate)
  8. 0x9703...69c2 Cleveland Guardians, $2,227
  9. 0x4eef...3fcb Cleveland Guardians, $2,042 (79% win rate)
  10. 0x84ad...bfb7 Cincinnati Reds, $1,250 (55% win rate)

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

7dCincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians$13,127 tracked4 signalsMLBSportsGamesbaseball
Cincinnati Reds
41¢
Cleveland Guardians
60¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for May 16 at 6:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

CIN
24-21
CLE
24-22
CIN +135CLE -163O/U 8.5Polymarket: 41¢
Price History — “Cleveland Guardians
67¢
57¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

7m ago

$1,225 on Cleveland Guardians at 60¢

60¢60¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

1h ago

$4,193 on Cincinnati Reds at 40¢

40¢41¢1¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

1h ago

$2,658 on Cincinnati Reds at 40¢

40¢41¢1¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

2h ago

$5,051 on Cincinnati Reds at 39¢

39¢41¢2¢

Related Theses