Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals
7 signals across 2 markets · $26,278 tracked · resolves May 14, 2026
The Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals event on Polymarket covers both the game winner and the Over/Under 9.5 total. PolySpotter has tracked $26,278 in smart-money activity across 7 signals, including sharp buying on a Cleveland surge, a Royals dip, and an Over cluster.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 99% winner on Cleveland surge
Elite 99% winner joined a large one-sided Cleveland move that drove the market from 47¢ to 94¢, though the best entry appears to have passed.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 20.1 - 91% winner in 10-wallet surge
Elite 91% win-rate bettor bought Cleveland at 44¢ amid a 10-wallet, $146K one-sided surge that drove the market to 94¢.
$2,200Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 20.1 - 89% winner caught 49-point move
Elite 89% winner bought Cleveland at 45¢ amid a 10-wallet one-sided surge that pushed the market to 94¢.
$2,250Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 20.1 - 91% winner leads Over cluster
Strong Over flow led by a 91% winning MLB bettor, with five wallets buying around 49¢ before the market moved to 68¢.
$8,593Score: 12.8 - Sharp cluster buying Royals dip
Four-wallet Royals cluster includes highly profitable bettors buying the underdog after a major price drop, supported by a volume spike and one-sided flow.
$8,150Score: 8.8 - 91% winner caught Guardians move
Sharp serial sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate bought Cleveland at 85¢ before the market moved to 98¢ amid a volume spike.
$1,876Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 5.1 - 85% winner buying Over
A proven profitable sports bettor with an 85% resolved-bet record is buying Over despite the alert having only one signal.
$1,209Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 2.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9c76cd…c926$2,250 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0xae825b…faf0$2,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0x27345a…6d9e$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x88c491…129a$1,876 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0xa9a6bc…0009$1,209 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Guardians vs. Royals?
This event tracks prediction-market pricing for the Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals game winner, plus the O/U 9.5 total. Check the live market for the latest implied odds, as prices can move quickly before and during the game.
What is the smart money doing on Guardians vs. Royals?
PolySpotter has flagged 7 smart-money signals totaling $26,278 across the event. Recent alerts include a 99% winner on a Cleveland surge, a 91% winner in a 10-wallet surge, and sharp buying of a Royals dip.
Is there smart money on the Over/Under 9.5?
Yes. One recent alert showed a 91% winner leading an Over cluster, suggesting notable sharp interest in the total as well as the moneyline outcome.
When does the Guardians vs. Royals prediction market resolve?
The market resolves after the May 7 game is completed. If the game is postponed, it remains open until the makeup game is finished; if it is canceled with no makeup or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.