Part of: Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals
This prediction market covers the May 7 MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Kansas City Royals, resolving to the team that wins the game. PolySpotter is tracking $1,876 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal, with recent alerts highlighting sharp interest on both the Guardians and Royals. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is completed; if canceled with no makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,477.
Categories: Games, MLB, Sports, baseball
Notable Trades
91% winner caught Guardians move
Sharp serial sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate bought Cleveland at 85¢ before the market moved to 98¢ amid a volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $769k lifetime.
- They bought Cleveland at 85¢ before the market jumped to 98¢.
- This wallet has traded across 31 events with $1.45M in similar cross-market activity.
$1,876 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 91%
99% winner on Cleveland surge
Elite 99% winner joined a large one-sided Cleveland move that drove the market from 47¢ to 94¢, though the best entry appears to have passed.
- This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $355,777 lifetime.
- 10 wallets bought Cleveland the same way for $146,084 total.
- The trade entered at 47¢ before Cleveland surged to 94¢, so this looks like sharp early positioning.
$2,000 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 99%
89% winner caught 49-point move
Elite 89% winner bought Cleveland at 45¢ amid a 10-wallet one-sided surge that pushed the market to 94¢.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up about $551K lifetime.
- 10 wallets bought the same side for $146K total, with volume spiking 202x above normal.
- The entry was 45¢ before the price ran to 94¢, so this looks sharp but may be too late to chase.
$2,250 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 89%
91% winner in 10-wallet surge
Elite 91% win-rate bettor bought Cleveland at 44¢ amid a 10-wallet, $146K one-sided surge that drove the market to 94¢.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $246K across 299 positions.
- They bought Cleveland at 44¢ before a 10-wallet, $146K same-side surge pushed it to 94¢.
- The market saw a 202x volume spike and a 37-point price jump, showing strong momentum.
$2,200 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 91%
Sharp cluster buying Royals dip
Four-wallet Royals cluster includes highly profitable bettors buying the underdog after a major price drop, supported by a volume spike and one-sided flow.
- Four wallets put $8.2K on Kansas City, including one bettor up $7.0M lifetime and another with an 85% hit rate.
- The Royals price has fallen sharply, and this group bought the underdog around 19¢ after a major move.
- Market volume spiked 11.8x before the game, suggesting fresh attention on this side.
$8,150 on Kansas City Royals
Top Holders
- 0x4f21...0ec5 — Outcome 97239809, $93,092 (40% win rate)
- 0xb45a...192c — Outcome 97239809, $80,000 (45% win rate)
- 0x9495...9a27 — Outcome 97239809, $54,358 (64% win rate)
- 0xf152...64aa — Outcome 97239809, $30,000 (67% win rate)
- 0x04b9...79e0 — Outcome 97239809, $17,500 (76% win rate)
- 0x6a32...0086 — Outcome 67596570, $15,000 (78% win rate)
- 0x1117...3532 — Outcome 67596570, $15,000 (60% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — Outcome 97239809, $12,933 (66% win rate)
- 0xadfa...324e — Outcome 97239809, $12,000 (49% win rate)
- 0x5375...aeea — Outcome 97239809, $10,814 (44% win rate)
