Event

Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees

28 signals across 4 markets · $289,741 tracked · resolves Jun 11, 2026

This Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees event tracks prediction-market odds for their June 4 MLB matchup, including the Yankees -1.5 spread market. PolySpotter has detected $3,000 in smart money activity, including a signal tied to an elite trader profile with a 97% win-rate headline.

CLE
1
36-28
Final
NYY
2
37-25
CLE +135NYY -163O/U 9
Venue
Yankee Stadium, Bronx
Attendance
39,504

Markets (4)

  1. Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.58 signals · $176,558 tracked
  2. Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees17 signals · $105,185 tracked
  3. Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)2 signals · $4,999 tracked
  4. Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)1 signal · $3,000 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Sharp cluster buying underdog

    High-score cluster led by a 96% lifetime winner is buying Cleveland against a sharp move toward New York, creating a notable contrarian sports signal.

    $17,079Score: 20.5
  2. Sharp cluster on Under

    Three wallets, including two highly profitable sharp bettors, bought $75.9k of Under at 47¢ right at MLB game resolution amid a major volume spike.

    $75,901Score: 19.4
  3. 96% winner backs underdog

    High-conviction Cleveland buy cluster led by a 96% winner with +$440K P&L, though the market has since moved sharply against their entry.

    $15,560Score: 19.3
  4. Profitable serial sports bettor

    Sharp serial sports bettor with a 79% record and $3.1M profit put $54.8k on Under at 47¢ right at scheduled resolution amid a major volume spike.

    $54,801Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 14.4
  5. Elite 89% winner buying

    Elite profitable sports bettor with an 89% win rate and $2.3M lifetime profit bought $6.5k of Yankees amid a major volume spike and price move.

    $6,521Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 11.3
  6. Elite sharp buying underdog

    Elite sports bettor with a 93% record and $1.29M profit is buying Cleveland at 39¢ amid a major pre-game volume spike.

    $7,417Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 10.7
  7. 96% win-rate sports sharp

    A highly profitable sports bettor with a 96% historical win rate bought Cleveland at 38¢, supported by serial cross-market success and a pre-game volume spike.

    $3,791Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 10.4
  8. 91% winner late Under

    Sharp MLB bettor with a 91% win record bought Under minutes before resolution amid a major volume spike.

    $1,100Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 9.5
  9. 98% win-rate MLB sharp

    Elite sports bettor with a 98% historical win rate and $454k profit is buying Cleveland at 40¢.

    $1,047Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 9.0
  10. Elite 88% sports bettor

    Elite sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $3.0M lifetime profit is buying Under at even money.

    $1,299Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 9.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x4bff30fc26$54,801 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
  2. 0xdb859a152f$20,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
  3. 0xe1a24214b8$12,751 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 71% wins
  4. 0xb5b563484e$8,296 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
  5. 0x16bb998492$7,417 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
  6. 0xd48a816e90$7,315 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
  7. 0xf28e42cab2$6,521 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
  8. 0x4a9ec61997$5,900 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
  9. 0xb91aeb3987$4,815 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
  10. 0x4c0abba9be$3,791 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Guardians vs. Yankees prediction market odds?

This event page tracks live Polymarket pricing for Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees, with the active child market focused on the New York Yankees -1.5 run spread.

What does Yankees -1.5 mean on Polymarket?

A Yankees -1.5 spread market generally pays out if New York wins by 2 or more runs. If the Yankees win by exactly 1 run or lose the game, that side would not win.

Is smart money betting on Guardians vs. Yankees?

PolySpotter has tracked $3,000 in smart money activity on this event, including a recent alert labeled “Elite 97% winner,” indicating activity from a highly rated trader profile.

When does the Guardians vs. Yankees market resolve?

The game is scheduled for June 4 at 1:35 PM ET, and the event is listed to resolve by June 11, 2026. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.

What happens if Guardians vs. Yankees is canceled or tied?

According to the event rules, if the game is canceled with no make-up game or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50.