Part of: Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees
This prediction market covers the June 4 MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and New York Yankees, resolving to the team that wins the matchup. PolySpotter is tracking $7,315 in smart money activity from 1 signal, including a profitable serial sports bettor. The market remains open if the game is postponed and resolves 50-50 only if the game is canceled with no makeup or ends in a tie.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and New York Yankees, scheduled for June 4 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,354.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a long track record is buying Cleveland at 40¢, though the stake is modest relative to market liquidity.
- This bettor has won 61% of 1,431 resolved markets and is up about $20.3M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 470 events with over $23M in flagged cross-market volume.
- The bet is modest at $1.6K, but the 40¢ entry suggests they see Cleveland as underpriced.
$1,575 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 62%
98% win-rate MLB sharp
Elite sports bettor with a 98% historical win rate and $454k profit is buying Cleveland at 40¢.
- This bettor has won 169 of 172 resolved positions and is up $454k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 153 events with a 98% hit rate.
- Buying Cleveland at 40¢ implies they see the Guardians as underpriced despite the Yankees being favored.
$1,047 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 98%
Elite sharp buying underdog
Elite sports bettor with a 93% record and $1.29M profit is buying Cleveland at 39¢ amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $1.29M lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 223 events with the same 93% hit rate.
- A $7.4K buy at 39¢ backs Cleveland as an underdog while market volume is spiking.
$7,417 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A massively profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 69% win rate and $2.36M lifetime profit is buying the Yankees at 61¢.
- This bettor has won 69% of 3,263 resolved markets and is up $2.36M lifetime.
- They are highly experienced across 1,766 events with over $22M invested on Polymarket.
- A $7.3K Yankees buy at 61¢ suggests meaningful conviction despite a liquid order book.
$7,315 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0x16bb...8492 — Cleveland Guardians, $21,953 (93% win rate)
- 0x5d1d...afd2 — New York Yankees, $12,295 (54% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — New York Yankees, $11,993 (69% win rate)
- 0x0a77...9d74 — Cleveland Guardians, $8,284
- 0xdb83...1e50 — New York Yankees, $5,747 (68% win rate)
- 0x84cf...2f63 — New York Yankees, $4,986 (50% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — New York Yankees, $4,733
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Cleveland Guardians, $4,510 (62% win rate)
- 0xebe6...9278 — New York Yankees, $3,000
- 0x5268...135d — Cleveland Guardians, $2,965 (53% win rate)
