Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians
8 signals across 2 markets · $18,072 tracked · resolves Apr 28, 2026
The Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians event on Polymarket covers both the game winner and the total runs market at over/under 8.5. PolySpotter is tracking $18,072 in smart money across 8 signals, including activity from a 3-wallet Cleveland cluster, a 14-wallet funded cluster, and sharp bettors with reported 92% and 94% win rates.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 3-wallet Cleveland cluster
Three wallets lined up on Cleveland, including a high-volume 71% win-rate trader with activity across 143 events, making this coordinated sports flow worth watching despite the mixed quality of the other wallets.
$5,341Score: 10.3 - 94% win-rate bettor
A proven sharp sports-style bettor with a 94% win rate and nearly $380k profit just bought Houston Astros, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.
$3,615Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 9.2 - 94% win-rate underdog bettor
A highly proven sports bettor with a 94% win rate and nearly $380k profit bought the longshot side after a sharp market move, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.
$1,460Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 9.0 - 14-wallet funded cluster
A 14-wallet funded cluster with a long observed history is buying the same side, and this wallet has a large, profitable sample despite only a modest standalone edge.
$1,554Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 9.0 - 92% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 92% win rate and nearly $2.8M in realized P&L is making a fresh buy in this MLB total market, which is worth surfacing despite the modest size.
$1,813Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 8.0 - Pro sports sharp at 39¢
A highly profitable high-volume sports trader with a 73% win rate bought Houston at 39¢ during a major pregame volume spike, making this a credible signal despite the modest ticket size.
$1,248Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 6.3 - $6M sharp sports bettor
A very active, highly profitable sports bettor with a 73% win rate bought Cleveland at 69¢ just before the market moved sharply higher to 78¢.
$1,288Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 5.0 - 71% win-rate sports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 71% win rate is taking the Cleveland side here by selling Astros, which is notable even in a liquid MLB market.
$1,753Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xba8179…dc35$5,075 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 93% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$2,536 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 63% wins
- 0x1b4d7c…e246$1,813 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0x5b6331…11a4$1,753 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0xaa6801…94a7$1,554 · 1 market · 1 alert · 59% wins
FAQs
What are the Astros vs Guardians prediction market odds?
This event tracks Polymarket odds for the Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians game, including the moneyline-style winner market and the over/under 8.5 runs market. Odds can move as traders react to lineups, pitching news, injuries, and smart money activity.
What smart money is betting on Astros vs Guardians?
PolySpotter has tracked $18,072 in smart money across 8 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a 3-wallet Cleveland cluster, a 14-wallet funded cluster, and activity from bettors labeled as 92% and 94% win-rate sharp bettors.
Is there sharp action on the Astros vs Guardians over/under?
Yes, this event includes a total runs market set at over/under 8.5. Smart money alerts across the event can help show whether sharp traders are leaning toward a side, the total, or reacting to market mispricing.
When does the Astros vs Guardians market resolve?
The market is scheduled around the April 21 MLB game at 6:10 PM ET and resolves after the game is completed. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played; if it is canceled with no make-up game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.
How can I use PolySpotter for Astros vs Guardians odds?
PolySpotter highlights smart money signals behind the Polymarket odds, including clustered wallets, high-win-rate bettors, and unusual buying activity. That helps you see not just the market price, but who may be moving it.