Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians

This Polymarket tracks who will win the April 21 MLB game between the Houston Astros and Cleveland Guardians. The market resolves to the winning team once the game is completed, with special rules for postponement, cancellation, or a tie. PolySpotter is currently tracking $23,134 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including alerts noting a 94% winner in a 3-wallet cluster and a pro sports sharp at 39¢.

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for April 21 at 6:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,956.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

73% winner leads cluster

Three wallets piled into Cleveland for nearly $10k during a sharp volume surge, anchored by a serial cross-market bettor with 73% win rate and $6.0M profit.

  • A bettor with 73% win rate across 3,222 resolved trades and $6.0M profit joined this Cleveland buy cluster.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $9.7k as market volume ran 23.3x above normal.
  • The best entries came at 58¢ and 62¢, and the market has already moved up to 70¢.

$9,708 on Cleveland Guardians

Pro sports sharp at 39¢

A highly profitable high-volume sports trader with a 73% win rate bought Houston at 39¢ during a major pregame volume spike, making this a credible signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor has won 2,340 of 3,222 resolved trades and is up about $6.0M lifetime
  • They bought Houston at 39¢ while market activity surged 40.8x above normal before the game
  • Entry at 39¢ suggests they see the Astros as meaningfully undervalued versus the current setup

$1,248 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc807...c12b Cleveland Guardians, $95,970 (50% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ea...d96a Houston Astros, $70,000 (51% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 Houston Astros, $39,910 (73% win rate)
  4. 0xba81...dc35 Cleveland Guardians, $23,499 (94% win rate)
  5. 0x842a...7422 Cleveland Guardians, $18,134 (54% win rate)
  6. 0x081c...f010 Cleveland Guardians, $15,901 (78% win rate)
  7. 0xbde3...4a49 Houston Astros, $15,461 (50% win rate)
  8. 0x37c1...c53a Houston Astros, $14,394 (67% win rate)
  9. 0xd48a...6e90 Houston Astros, $13,146 (65% win rate)
  10. 0xd696...8a49 Houston Astros, $12,119 (89% win rate)

Related Theses

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Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians

6d$10,956 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Houston Astros
31¢
Cleveland Guardians
70¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for April 21 at 6:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Cleveland Guardians
80¢
56¢
32¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians

2h ago

$9,708 on Cleveland Guardians at 58¢

58¢70¢12¢

Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians

2h ago

$1,248 on Houston Astros at 39¢

39¢31¢8¢

Related Theses

Astros vs Guardians Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter