New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians
17 signals across 4 markets · $296,509 tracked · resolves Aug 12, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB game on August 5 at 6:40 PM ET. The event tracks the win probability for both teams, with PolySpotter reporting $1,052 in smart money and one signal from a 92% win-rate serial bettor.
Markets (4)
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians8 signals · $155,825 tracked
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.54 signals · $70,037 tracked
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.54 signals · $69,147 tracked
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians1 signal · $1,500 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 15-wallet Mets buying cluster
A large 15-wallet linked cluster bought the Mets at 48–75 cents before a 26-point price surge, with participation from highly profitable bettors.
$116,465Score: 11.1 - 96% bettor leads $53K Under cluster
A three-wallet $53,000 Under cluster includes a highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial historical edge, despite weaker supporting wallets.
$53,037Score: 7.5 - Three-wallet Cleveland buying surge
Three wallets placed $16.3K of concentrated Cleveland exposure amid an 87.8x volume spike and a sharp market move toward Cleveland, with one highly profitable bettor involved.
$16,599Score: 7.5 - 96% win-rate sharp backs Mets
A highly proven sports bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge bought the Mets amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.
$2,002Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 6.3 - 96% winner scales into Under
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate and strong historical edge added $10,000 to an existing Under position in a relatively quiet market.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 6.3 - Sharp bettors scaling into Under
Three bettors, including two exceptionally profitable sharps, concentrated $34,024 into Under while adding to existing positions in a relatively thin MLB total market.
$34,024Score: 6.2 - Elite bettor adds to Cleveland
A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and $942,000 profit is adding $8,983 to an existing Cleveland position at near-even odds.
$8,983Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 6.0 - 96% winner scales into Under
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate and strong historical edge added $10,000 to an existing Under position in a relatively quiet market.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.8 - 93% winner buys Over aggressively
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate made a large, fresh Over bet that was several times the market's recent trading volume.
$5,882Wallet win rate: 47%Score: 5.6 - 94% win-rate bettor adds to Over
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate and $229,842 lifetime profit is adding $5,000 to an Over position amid a sharp volume spike.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf3a6ac…71bd$27,468 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
- 0xa08455…bb99$14,002 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 96% wins
- 0xd3faf1…a26c$8,983 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0xaa7789…15a5$6,602 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0x4bff30…fc26$5,882 · 1 market · 1 alert · 47% wins
- 0x78b009…9f1a$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x0f1cb0…82c6$3,072 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0xe55aab…ecf7$1,772 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0xc0df19…5974$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x684baa…8409$1,052 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
FAQs
What are the Mets vs. Guardians odds on Polymarket?
Polymarket displays live probabilities for a New York Mets win and a Cleveland Guardians win. These prediction-market odds can change as traders buy and sell positions.
What is the smart money doing in the Mets vs. Guardians market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,052 in smart money across this event and one signal from a serial bettor with a reported 92% win rate. Check the live market activity for the latest positioning.
When is the Mets vs. Guardians game scheduled?
The game is scheduled for August 5 at 6:40 PM Eastern Time. If postponed, the market remains open until the game is played.
How does the Mets vs. Guardians prediction market resolve?
The market resolves to the winning team. If the game is canceled without a makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.