Part of: New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $155,825.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Three-wallet Cleveland buying surge

Three wallets placed $16.3K of concentrated Cleveland exposure amid an 87.8x volume spike and a sharp market move toward Cleveland, with one highly profitable bettor involved.

Three wallets committed $16,276 to Cleveland while the market experienced an 87.8x volume spike.
A bettor with 3,364 wins and $2.8M lifetime profit is among the Cleveland buyers.
Cleveland gained roughly 26 percentage points as Mets pricing fell 25 points, signaling strong directional momentum.

$16,599 on Cleveland Guardians

Volume spike behind Mets repricing

Unusually large market-wide volume and a sharp repricing support the Mets position, although the bettor's long-term record is only moderately predictive.

The bettor bought New York Mets at 41%, and the market is now pricing them at 58%.
Trading activity was 87.8 times the historical average, alongside a reported 25-point price move.
The wallet is profitable with 7,839 resolved bets, but its 57% win rate is not an exceptional standalone edge.

$1,050 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 57%

15-wallet Mets buying cluster

A large 15-wallet linked cluster bought the Mets at 48–75 cents before a 26-point price surge, with participation from highly profitable bettors.

Fifteen linked wallets committed $116,465 to the Mets, including large purchases around 62–65 cents.
The buying preceded a 26-point move to a 100% market price, suggesting strong coordinated conviction.
One participating bettor wins 91% of 240 resolved trades and is up nearly $598,000 lifetime.

$116,465 on New York Mets

96% win-rate sharp backs Mets

A highly proven sports bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge bought the Mets amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 124 of 129 resolved positions, earning $914,716 while buying at an average 45% price.
The $2,002 Mets purchase came during an 8,902x historical volume spike, adding support to the directional signal.
The 49¢ entry implies the bettor values New York above the market's roughly 50% current estimate.

$2,002 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 96%

Elite bettor adds to Cleveland

A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and $942,000 profit is adding $8,983 to an existing Cleveland position at near-even odds.

This bettor has won 84% of 586 resolved positions and is up $942,000.
The $8,983 purchase adds to an existing $20,000 Cleveland position, signaling increased conviction.
Cleveland is available near 51¢, implying roughly even odds despite this bettor’s strong long-term edge.

$8,983 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 84%

91% winner scaling into Mets

A highly profitable serial trader with a 91% win rate is adding $3,072 to an existing Mets position at 49¢.

This bettor has won 217 of 239 resolved trades, with $588,154 in recorded profit.
They are adding $3,072 to an existing $20,000 Mets position at 49¢, signaling continued conviction.
The 49¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value if the Mets win.

$3,072 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable bettor scaling into Cleveland

A highly profitable serial trader with a 69% win rate is adding $6,602 to an existing Guardians position at 52%, though the market is liquid and the low-activity signal is inconsistent.

This bettor has won 69% of 408 resolved trades and is up $427,697 lifetime.
They are adding $6,602 to an existing Cleveland position at 52%, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
The 52¢ entry implies the bettor sees Cleveland as meaningfully undervalued despite the market pricing the team near even odds.

$6,602 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 69%

92% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial edge is taking Cleveland at near-even odds.

This bettor has won 132 of 144 trades and earned over $1.07 million in P&L.
They have traded 41 different events while maintaining the same 92% win rate, suggesting repeatable skill rather than a one-off result.
The $1,052 Cleveland position is a meaningful bet in a market with only $612 of 24-hour volume, entered at 49¢ near even odds.

$1,052 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

0xd3fa...a26c — Outcome 51675502, $20,000 (84% win rate)
0xaa77...15a5 — Outcome 51675502, $12,697 (69% win rate)
0x2805...76ed — Outcome 51675502, $7,105 (44% win rate)
0xeafc...e4c4 — Outcome 51675502, $3,448 (70% win rate)
0x684b...8409 — Outcome 51675502, $2,316 (91% win rate)
0x4e73...ac97 — Outcome 51675502, $2,308 (81% win rate)
0xb98b...7e18 — Outcome 51675502, $2,000
0x09af...9728 — Outcome 51675502, $1,923 (99% win rate)
0xc7e5...2d3a — Outcome 51675502, $1,712 (82% win rate)
0xd942...f9d3 — Outcome 51675502, $1,500 (47% win rate)

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New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians

3dNew York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians$155,825 tracked8 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for August 5 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

NYM

49-66

Final

CLE

57-58

NYM +101CLE -107O/U 7.5

Venue

Progressive Field, Cleveland

Attendance

29,033

Price History — “Cleveland Guardians”

57¢