New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
15 signals across 4 markets · $110,147 tracked · resolves Aug 14, 2026
Track the New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates prediction market for the August 7 MLB matchup, including live win probabilities for both teams. PolySpotter is tracking $1,582 in smart-money activity, with a 93% win-rate sharp recently backing the Mets.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable wallets pile into Under
A concentrated $13.7K Under position includes a highly profitable wallet and a major volume spike, despite some signals reflecting existing positions.
$13,734Score: 6.4 - 99% win-rate contrarian bettor
An extraordinarily profitable serial bettor made a contrarian $1,145 Pirates purchase, though the market has since moved sharply against it.
$1,145Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.8 - 96% win-rate serial bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $4,365 bet on Pittsburgh at 50%.
$4,365Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.8 - 96% win-rate bettor adds to Under
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge is adding $10.7K to an existing Under position.
$10,662Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.8 - 94% win-rate bettor adds to Over
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% win rate is adding to an existing Over position at near-even odds.
$2,500Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.6 - Sharp bettor scales into Mets
A proven 78% bettor with a substantial positive edge added $24.6K to an existing Mets spread position in a thin market.
$24,635Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 5.5 - 99% win-rate serial bettor buys Over
A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate across 1,694 resolved positions is making a fresh $2,282 buy on Over at near-even odds.
$2,282Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.4 - 94% winner buys the Under
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge took a fresh $2,164 Under position, despite the market moving sharply toward Over afterward.
$2,164Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.4 - 93% win-rate sharp backs Mets
A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial positive edge has newly bought the Mets at 44%.
$1,582Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.4 - 93% win-rate sharp backs Mets
A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial positive edge has newly bought the Mets at 44%.
$7,619Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0xa9b9e8…dd41$32,160 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 67% wins
- 0x04e684…3914$24,635 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0xa08455…bb99$15,027 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 96% wins
- 0x16bb99…8492$9,201 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 94% wins
- 0xd38ad2…8d26$6,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0xc3c3b3…eec8$3,427 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 99% wins
- 0x78b009…9f1a$2,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x161a7f…4103$2,164 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x4f29e1…7a7e$1,298 · 1 market · 1 alert · 55% wins
FAQs
What are the Mets vs. Pirates odds on Polymarket?
Polymarket lists outcome probabilities for the Mets and Pirates. Check the live event page for the latest market-implied odds as trading changes.
What is the smart money betting on in Mets vs. Pirates?
PolySpotter has tracked one smart-money signal totaling $1,582. The latest alert shows a sharp trader with a 93% historical win rate backing the New York Mets.
When does the Mets vs. Pirates prediction market resolve?
The market resolves after the August 7 game is completed. If the game is postponed, it remains open until completion; if it is canceled without a makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.
Does this event cover both teams?
Yes. This event covers the full Mets-Pirates game and trades the two possible winning outcomes: New York Mets or Pittsburgh Pirates.