Part of: New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for August 7 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "New York Mets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "New York Mets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $24,635.

Categories: baseball, Sports, Games, MLB

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor scales into Mets

A proven 78% bettor with a substantial positive edge added $24.6K to an existing Mets spread position in a thin market.

  • This bettor wins 78% of 431 resolved trades and is up $352,255 lifetime.
  • They added $24,635 to New York Mets at 71¢, reinforcing an existing position despite the market’s thin volume.
  • The trade was roughly 26 times the reported 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in the Mets covering.

$24,635 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 77%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 — Pittsburgh Pirates, $28,711 (64% win rate)
  2. 0xb428...74c8 — Pittsburgh Pirates, $260
  3. 0xa69d...228e — Pittsburgh Pirates, $129
  4. 0xb8c6...7b39 — Pittsburgh Pirates, $81
  5. 0x682f...3265 — Pittsburgh Pirates, $79
  6. 0x70b1...73b2 — Pittsburgh Pirates, $50
  7. 0xc7c6...97c3 — Pittsburgh Pirates, $39
  8. 0xb6dd...7af9 — Pittsburgh Pirates, $32 (66% win rate)
  9. 0xa3c2...df3d — Pittsburgh Pirates, $28
  10. 0x1b0f...b7ae — Pittsburgh Pirates, $26 (92% win rate)

Related Theses

Yankees win low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Reds win; total avoids ten

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Brewers win a low-scoring nail-biter

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Red Sox–Blue Jays stay under

Covers 1 related market

Bublik beats Fritz

Covers 1 related market

Landaluce beats Cerundolo

Covers 1 related market

Cobolli beats Tien

Covers 1 related market

Vandewinkel beats Kayla Day

Covers 1 related market

England will not win

Covers 1 related market

Coco Gauff beats Potapova

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)

New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$24,635 tracked1 signalbaseballSportsGamesMLB
Pittsburgh Pirates
0¢
New York Mets
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for August 7 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "New York Mets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "New York Mets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

NYM
6
51-66
Final
PIT
4
57-61
NYM +119PIT -128O/U 8.5Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Attendance
33,497

Notable Trades

Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)

2026-08-07 23:15 UTC

$24,635 on New York Mets at 71¢

71¢→100¢↑29¢

Related Theses