New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
22 signals across 2 markets · $250,581 tracked · resolves May 18, 2026
Follow Polymarket odds for the New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB game scheduled for May 11 at 6:35 PM ET. This event tracks the winner market for the matchup, with smart money activity including a signal from an elite 94% sports bettor and $3,705 tracked across the event.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 8-wallet Orioles surge
High-conviction 8-wallet cluster bought Baltimore aggressively, moving the market from roughly 57¢ to 88¢ with participation from profitable sports/event traders.
$34,364Score: 17.5 - Elite 94% sports bettor
Elite high-volume sports bettor with a 94% win rate and $515k lifetime profit bought Yankees at 61¢, making the wallet track record the primary signal.
$3,705Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 9.0 - Elite 96% sports winner
Elite 96% winner with over $1.17M profit is buying Orioles +1.5 in meaningful size and has a long serial cross-market track record.
$5,261Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 9.0 - Linked sports cluster with profitable whale
Three wallets, including a highly profitable sports whale and two linked accounts, bought the Orioles side together for nearly $9.7k on a Yankees spread market.
$9,722Score: 7.6 - Perfect-record wallet joins cluster
Surface because a profitable 12-0 wallet joined a three-wallet Yankees buy cluster during a pre-game volume spike, despite the market being highly liquid.
$5,723Score: 7.2 - Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable high-volume sports trader bought Yankees during a sharp 20-point move, though the edge is moderate in a very liquid market.
$6,311Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 6.3 - Cluster fading spike
Three wallets sold Yankees into a sharp 20-point price spike, but two appear to be profit-taking from earlier 58¢ entries, making this a moderate fade-Yankees signal rather than a clean sharp entry.
$5,165Score: 6.1 - $7.3M-profit sports whale
Profitable high-volume sports wallet with $7.3M lifetime P&L is buying Baltimore amid a large pre-game volume spike.
$1,817Wallet win rate: 57%Score: 5.7 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Sharp serial sports trader with 74% wins and $311k profit is fading the Yankees in a high-volume MLB market with corroborating pre-event volume spike.
$5,765Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 5.1 - Million-profit serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports trader with a long track record flipped from Orioles exposure into Yankees amid a sharp upward price move.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 5.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x4bff30…fc26$129,972 · 1 market · 1 alert · 44% wins
- 0xd48a81…6e90$12,187 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 67% wins
- 0x38f0b7…2768$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x2dc13c…b33c$6,311 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
- 0xda66dd…3f38$6,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0x0eb75b…1f17$5,765 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
- 0x1e7792…8c33$5,261 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x7760fe…21f0$4,957 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 62% wins
- 0x27f738…44b0$4,950 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x602785…4320$3,705 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
FAQs
What are the Yankees vs. Orioles prediction market odds?
This event tracks Polymarket odds for whether the New York Yankees or Baltimore Orioles will win the game. Prices move as traders react to lineups, pitching news, injuries, and in-game expectations.
What smart money is betting on Yankees vs. Orioles?
PolySpotter has tracked $3,705 in smart money activity across this event, including one recent signal from an elite 94% sports bettor. These signals can help show where sharper Polymarket traders are positioning.
How does the Yankees vs. Orioles Polymarket resolve?
The market resolves to New York Yankees if the Yankees win, or Baltimore Orioles if the Orioles win. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.
When does the Yankees vs. Orioles market close?
The game is scheduled for May 11 at 6:35 PM ET, and the event is expected to resolve after the completed game result is known. The listed resolution deadline is May 18, 2026 at 22:35 UTC.