Part of: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for May 11 at 6:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,560.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly experienced cross-market sports trader with strong lifetime profit is buying Yankees -1.5 despite the market already moving up sharply.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 1,239 resolved bets, a 62% win rate, and $351K lifetime profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 153 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought Yankees -1.5 at 64¢ after the market moved up 17.5 points today.

$1,577 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 62%

Linked sports cluster with profitable whale

Three wallets, including a highly profitable sports whale and two linked accounts, bought the Orioles side together for nearly $9.7k on a Yankees spread market.

  • Three wallets all bought the same Orioles spread side, totaling $9.7k in a $35.6k daily-volume market.
  • One bettor in the cluster is up $2.9M lifetime across $22.3M traded.
  • Two wallets share a funder, adding weight to the coordinated one-sided move.

$9,722 on Baltimore Orioles

Elite 96% sports winner

Elite 96% winner with over $1.17M profit is buying Orioles +1.5 in meaningful size and has a long serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.18M lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market sports record: 51 events, 58 markets, and $949K tracked volume.
  • This $5.3K Orioles +1.5 buy is over half the market’s recent volume, showing strong conviction.

$5,261 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5268...135d New York Yankees, $13,780 (52% win rate)
  2. 0x1e77...8c33 Baltimore Orioles, $9,926 (96% win rate)
  3. 0x9703...69c2 New York Yankees, $9,247
  4. 0x9495...9a27 Baltimore Orioles, $7,794 (64% win rate)
  5. 0x84cf...2f63 New York Yankees, $7,688 (51% win rate)
  6. 0x86fb...03d4 Baltimore Orioles, $7,671 (60% win rate)
  7. 0x777d...5143 Baltimore Orioles, $7,438 (58% win rate)
  8. 0x4738...4687 New York Yankees, $3,524 (50% win rate)
  9. 0x204f...5e14 Baltimore Orioles, $3,123 (55% win rate)
  10. 0xd100...853d Baltimore Orioles, $3,074 (48% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

ResolvedNew York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles$16,560 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
New York Yankees
2¢
Baltimore Orioles
98¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for May 11 at 6:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

NYY
2
26-15
Live
9
0-0, 0 out
BAL
3
18-23
NYY -149BAL +124O/U 9Polymarket: 2¢
Venue
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Weather
58° Clear
Price History — “Baltimore Orioles
101¢
66¢
31¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

1h ago

$1,577 on New York Yankees at 64¢

64¢2¢62¢

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

2h ago

$9,722 on Baltimore Orioles at 55¢

55¢98¢43¢

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

3h ago

$5,261 on Baltimore Orioles at 53¢

53¢98¢45¢

Related Theses