New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres
11 signals across 4 markets · $67,386 tracked · resolves Sep 12, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres, with outcomes trading on which team wins the upcoming MLB game. PolySpotter is tracking $19,600 in smart money across the event, including an oversized Yankees bet from an elite bettor.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- 93% winner scaling into Over
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 93% win rate is adding to an existing Over position at 52 cents.
$2,632Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.6 - Perfect-record bettor adds to Yankees
A proven 30-0 bettor with a substantial historical edge is adding to an existing Yankees position at 46 cents.
$1,229Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.4 - 92% winner backs the Under
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial historical edge is making a fresh $1,300 Under position.
$1,300Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.4 - 92% winner backs the Under
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial historical edge is making a fresh $1,300 Under position.
$1,300Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.4 - Three-wallet Padres conviction cluster
Three wallets committed nearly $30,000 to San Diego, supported by a dramatic volume spike and one highly profitable bettor with a large sample.
$29,925Score: 5.1 - Sharp bettor scales into Yankees
A proven bettor with a 76% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an existing Yankees position during a major volume spike.
$1,944Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 3.5 - Profitable serial trader buys Over
A highly experienced and profitable serial trader with a 66% win rate bought Over at 45%, though the market has since moved against the position.
$2,500Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 3.4 - Serial trader caught Yankees breakout
A highly active sports trader bought the Yankees at 76% as the market broke sharply above its prior range, though the wallet's overall record is only moderately predictive.
$1,100Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 3.0 - Elite bettor makes oversized Yankees bet
A highly proven sports bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a fresh $19,600 Yankees position in an exceptionally thin market.
$19,600Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 2.1 - $6.8M-profit serial bettor backs Yankees
A highly experienced and profitable serial bettor bought the Yankees at 89%, though the trade is relatively small in a liquid market.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 0.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x16bb99…8492$19,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x526852…135d$4,356 · 1 market · 1 alert · 55% wins
- 0x224a89…a3d5$4,000 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 66% wins
- 0x78b009…9f1a$2,632 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x9c76cd…c926$2,600 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x54ba93…2a14$1,944 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
- 0x554d21…eb95$1,229 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xbca08c…9705$1,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
FAQs
What are the Yankees vs. Padres prediction-market odds?
Polymarket odds show the market-implied probability of a Yankees win versus a Padres win. Check the live event page for the latest prices and changes.
What is smart money doing in the Yankees vs. Padres market?
PolySpotter has tracked $19,600 in smart money across this event and one signal so far: an elite bettor made an oversized bet on the Yankees.
Who can win the Yankees vs. Padres prediction market?
The event has two outcomes: New York Yankees or San Diego Padres. The market resolves to the team that wins the game.
When does the Yankees vs. Padres market resolve?
The market is scheduled around the September 5 game and can remain open if the game is postponed. It resolves after the completed game, or 50-50 if the game is canceled without a makeup game or ends in a tie.