Part of: New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres

New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 5 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $55,298.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

$6.8M-profit serial bettor backs Yankees

A highly experienced and profitable serial bettor bought the Yankees at 89%, though the trade is relatively small in a liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 7,904 resolved trades and is up $6.8M lifetime.
  • The wallet has traded across 921 events, providing unusually strong evidence of sustained skill.
  • The Yankees were bought at 89¢ after a 40-point one-day move, so the remaining edge appears limited.

$1,500 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 67%

Serial trader caught Yankees breakout

A highly active sports trader bought the Yankees at 76% as the market broke sharply above its prior range, though the wallet's overall record is only moderately predictive.

  • This bettor has traded 1,064 events and generated nearly $2.0M in lifetime profit.
  • The Yankees price jumped 27 percentage points beyond its historical range after the 76¢ entry.
  • The position is already marked at 86%, indicating the market quickly followed the trade.

$1,100 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 61%

Sharp bettor scales into Yankees

A proven bettor with a 76% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an existing Yankees position during a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 76% of 54 resolved trades while buying at roughly 43% odds, indicating a meaningful edge.
  • They added $1,944 to an existing Yankees position, bringing total investment to about $6,264 at 45¢.
  • The market saw a 30.1x volume spike, adding support to the timing and direction of the trade.

$1,944 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 76%

Perfect-record bettor adds to Yankees

A proven 30-0 bettor with a substantial historical edge is adding to an existing Yankees position at 46 cents.

  • This bettor has won 100% of 30 resolved positions and is up $30,146 lifetime.
  • They are adding to an existing $2,672 Yankees position at 46¢, signaling increased conviction rather than routine position management.
  • The 46¢ entry implies roughly a 2.2x payout if New York wins, despite the market’s deep liquidity.

$1,229 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 93%

Three-wallet Padres conviction cluster

Three wallets committed nearly $30,000 to San Diego, supported by a dramatic volume spike and one highly profitable bettor with a large sample.

  • Three wallets bought nearly $30,000 of San Diego Padres contracts, creating a strong one-sided sports signal.
  • The largest wallet wins 65% of 7,827 resolved bets and is up $6.2 million lifetime.
  • Trading volume surged to 227 times its recent average while Padres contracts moved from roughly 52% to 55%.

$29,925 on San Diego Padres

Elite bettor makes oversized Yankees bet

A highly proven sports bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a fresh $19,600 Yankees position in an exceptionally thin market.

  • This bettor wins 94% of 576 resolved positions and is up $4.49 million lifetime.
  • The $19,600 Yankees bet is over 31 times the market's 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction despite ample overall liquidity.
  • The entry at 49¢ implies the bettor sees meaningful value on New York near a balanced matchup.

$19,600 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 95%

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Marlins win, runs stay low

Covers 3 related markets

Yankees win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Brewers win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Bears beat Eagles outright

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Panthers keep it close

Covers 3 related markets

Ole Miss beats LSU outright

Covers 3 related markets

New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres

New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres$55,298 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
New York Yankees
100¢
San Diego Padres
0¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 5 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

NYY
5
81-61
Final
SD
1
74-68
NYY +105SD -126O/U 7.5Polymarket: 100¢
Venue
Petco Park, San Diego
Attendance
40,946

Notable Trades

New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres

2026-09-06 01:00 UTC

$1,500 on New York Yankees at 89¢

89¢→100¢↑11¢

New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres

2026-09-06 00:11 UTC

$1,100 on New York Yankees at 76¢

76¢→100¢↑24¢

New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres

2026-09-05 23:09 UTC

$1,944 on New York Yankees at 45¢

45¢→100¢↑55¢

New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres

2026-09-05 17:15 UTC

$1,229 on New York Yankees at 46¢

46¢→100¢↑54¢

New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres

2026-09-05 14:33 UTC

$29,925 on San Diego Padres at 53¢

New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres

2026-09-05 13:49 UTC

$19,600 on New York Yankees at 49¢

49¢→100¢↑51¢

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…
Marlins win, runs stay low
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…
Yankees win in a high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Will there be a run scored in …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …
Tigers win a high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…
Brewers win in a high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…
Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (…
Bears beat Eagles outright
Wallet_0x224a8 trades 3 related markets
Eagles vs. BearsSpread: Eagles (-3.5)Spread: Eagles (-4.5)
Tigers win a low-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-…Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland G…Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland G…
Panthers keep it close
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Bears (-4.5)Spread: Bears (-2.5)Spread: Bears (-3.5)
Ole Miss beats LSU outright
Wallet_0x224a8 trades 3 related markets
LSU vs. Ole MissSpread: LSU (-2.5)Spread: LSU (-3.5)