Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
10 signals across 3 markets · $73,567 tracked · resolves May 13, 2026
This event hub tracks Polymarket odds for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks, including the game winner, O/U 9.5 total, and Arizona -1.5 spread markets. PolySpotter has tracked $73,567 in smart money across 10 signals, with recent alerts highlighting sharp interest in the underdog and strong backing from high win-rate sports bettors.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster buying underdog
Four wallets, including a 91% winner and major serial cross-market trader, are coordinating $9.3k of Pittsburgh Pirates buys into a sharp underdog dip.
$9,285Score: 17.0 - 89% sharp backs underdog
Proven profitable bettor with an 89% historical win rate is making a $10k MLB position, corroborated by serial cross-market success and linked-wallet activity.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 14.0 - 89% winner buying Arizona
Sharp sports bettor with an 89% tracked win rate and large lifetime profit is taking a $10k position on Arizona, with linked-wallet history adding conviction.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 14.0 - 98% sharp backing underdog
Elite 98% lifetime sports bettor bought Pirates despite the market moving against them, with a major pre-game volume spike adding support.
$2,475Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 10.0 - 91% win-rate sports sharp
Proven sharp sports bettor with a 91% win rate and $354k profit is taking a contrarian Pirates position despite the market moving away.
$2,452Wallet win rate: 47%Score: 8.0 - Perfect-record MLB bettor
Surface this: the wallet has a perfect 74-0 resolved record with strong profit and is buying Arizona at 56% in an MLB market.
$1,263Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 8.0 - Repeat funded cluster buying Under
A repeat linked-wallet cluster is putting meaningful size on Under in a relatively quiet MLB totals market, though the lead wallet's standalone track record is only modest.
$4,422Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 7.6 - New whale backs Pirates
A 3-hour-old wallet made a concentrated $18.9k Pirates buy alongside a 62x pre-game volume spike, suggesting fresh high-conviction sports flow.
$18,850Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 7.0 - Profitable MLB bettor on underdog
Despite weak automated signals, this is a profitable high-volume sports bettor taking a sizable underdog spread position in a relatively small MLB market.
$4,796Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 3.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
A profitable high-volume sports bettor put $10k on Arizona at 67¢, with the market moving to 74¢ afterward amid a 33.6x volume spike.
$10,024Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xbd14b6…d62a$20,000 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 97% wins
- 0x4f2122…0ec5$18,850 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
- 0x6498f9…8910$10,024 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0x32ed51…f960$4,796 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0x0bfdf8…a4bb$4,422 · 1 market · 1 alert · 51% wins
- 0xc33a10…3da3$2,475 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0xa1e49d…4f8a$2,452 · 1 market · 1 alert · 47% wins
- 0x09af20…9728$1,263 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
FAQs
What are the Pirates vs Diamondbacks prediction market odds?
This event covers multiple Polymarket markets for Pirates vs. Diamondbacks, including the moneyline-style winner market, the O/U 9.5 total, and the Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 spread. Odds move as traders buy and sell shares based on injury news, pitching matchups, lineup changes, and betting flow.
What is the smart money doing on Pirates vs Diamondbacks?
PolySpotter has tracked $73,567 in smart money and 10 signals across this event. Recent alerts include sharp clusters buying the underdog, 89% and 98% sharp backing for the underdog, and a 91% win-rate sports sharp involved in the market.
Are sharp bettors backing the Pirates or Diamondbacks?
Recent signals show meaningful sharp activity around the underdog, while another alert noted 89% winner buying Arizona. That suggests traders should look at both the outright winner market and spread market to understand where the strongest positions are forming.
What markets are included in this Pirates vs Diamondbacks event?
The event includes three child markets: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks game winner, Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 9.5, and Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5). The hub summarizes odds and smart money across all of them.
When does the Pirates vs Diamondbacks market resolve?
The market is scheduled around the May 5 MLB game at 9:40 PM ET and resolves after the game is completed. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion; if it is canceled with no makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.