Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals
8 signals across 4 markets · $78,771 tracked · resolves Jul 11, 2026
This event hub tracks Polymarket odds for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals MLB game, with trading focused on the 9.5 run total. PolySpotter has flagged $2,500 in smart money activity, including a signal from a trader described as a 97% winner on MLB totals.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- Four-wallet MLB steam
A $60k one-sided Pirates cluster with a 40.8x pre-game volume spike and several high-volume sports traders suggests notable coordinated MLB flow despite the largest wallet’s poor lifetime P&L.
$37,995Score: 10.2 - 97% winner on MLB total
Elite sharp wallet with a 97% resolved win rate and $146k profit bought Under 9.5 in this MLB total.
$2,500Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 9.0 - 99% winner buying Over
Elite sharp bettor with a 99% documented win rate and $1.1M profit bought Over 9.5 at 56¢.
$1,062Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 9.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market sports bettor placed a large pregame Under bet amid a major volume spike.
$17,852Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 6.4 - 84% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with an 84% resolved-bet win rate and extensive cross-market history bought $5.4k of Pirates -1.5 despite the price moving against them afterward.
$5,420Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 6.0 - Profitable high-volume bettor
A high-volume wallet with $1.6M lifetime profit bought Under before a major move from roughly 57¢ average entry to 96¢.
$5,924Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 3.5 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market sports bettor placed a large pregame Under bet amid a major volume spike.
$7,002Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 3.0 - 88% win-rate sports sharp
Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 88% resolved win rate and +$166k lifetime P&L, even though the alert signal itself is weak.
$1,015Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x547f29…2937$24,854 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 60% wins
- 0x526852…135d$5,924 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
- 0xde496f…fe85$5,420 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x78b009…9f1a$2,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x8b887c…8f33$1,062 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x1d1699…212e$1,015 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
FAQs
What are the Pirates vs Nationals prediction market odds?
This Polymarket event centers on the Pirates vs Nationals game, with the listed child market trading the over/under 9.5 total. The live market price reflects the crowd’s implied probability for that total outcome.
What is the smart money doing on Pirates vs Nationals?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,500 in smart money across this event from one signal. The notable alert highlighted activity from a trader labeled a 97% winner on MLB totals, making the O/U 9.5 market the key area to watch.
Is this Polymarket event about the winner or the total?
The event is for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals matchup, but the active child market shown here is the O/U 9.5 total. That means traders are focused on whether the game finishes above or below 9.5 runs.
When does the Pirates vs Nationals market resolve?
The market is tied to the scheduled MLB game on July 4 at 11:05 AM ET. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion; if canceled with no make-up game or it ends in a tie under the rules, it resolves 50-50.