Part of: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals

Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 4 at 11:05 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,435.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

84% win-rate sports sharp

Sharp sports bettor with an 84% resolved-bet win rate and extensive cross-market history bought $5.4k of Pirates -1.5 despite the price moving against them afterward.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $40,966 lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 179 events with $1.54M total traded.
  • They bought $5.4k of Pirates -1.5 at 54¢, showing real conviction on the run line.

$5,420 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 85%

88% win-rate sports sharp

Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 88% resolved win rate and +$166k lifetime P&L, even though the alert signal itself is weak.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $166k lifetime.
  • They bought Pirates -1.5 at 49¢, implying they see value near even odds.
  • This is a smaller $1k bet, but the wallet’s 249-bet track record makes it worth following.

$1,015 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0x32ed...f960 — Washington Nationals, $1,477 (67% win rate)
  2. 0xeef6...cd4c — Washington Nationals, $1,087 (98% win rate)
  3. 0x37c1...8de1 — Washington Nationals, $798
  4. 0xb0f4...6fa9 — Washington Nationals, $71
  5. 0xa3c2...df3d — Washington Nationals, $65
  6. 0xd3a8...df77 — Washington Nationals, $59
  7. 0xff19...3ebe — Washington Nationals, $46
  8. 0x28f7...404d — Washington Nationals, $36
  9. 0xea94...0b53 — Washington Nationals, $29
  10. 0x75b5...a1f2 — Washington Nationals, $20

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Cardinals win high-scoring game

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Rays win high-scoring blowout

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Cubs win high-scoring game

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Athletics win high-scoring game

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Braves win high-scoring game

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Royals win high-scoring game

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Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals$6,435 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Pittsburgh Pirates
100¢
Washington Nationals
0¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 4 at 11:05 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

PIT
7
45-45
Final
WSH
1
46-44
PIT -162WSH +134O/U 10.5Polymarket: 100¢
Venue
Nationals Park, Washington
Attendance
28,125

Notable Trades

Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)

2026-07-04 15:38 UTC

$5,420 on Pittsburgh Pirates at 54¢

54¢→100¢↑46¢

Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)

2026-07-04 14:37 UTC

$1,015 on Pittsburgh Pirates at 49¢

49¢→100¢↑51¢

Related Theses