San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners
8 signals across 2 markets · $51,434 tracked · resolves May 23, 2026
The San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners prediction market tracks which team will win their May 16 MLB matchup. PolySpotter follows the live Polymarket odds, including smart money activity across the Padres and Mariners outcomes, with $5,476 tracked from one notable signal so far.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 93% winner backing Padres
Elite sports bettor with a 93% win rate and nearly $1M profit bought $5,000 of Padres, with additional linked-wallet and serial cross-market signals.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 14.0 - Elite 87% sports bettor
Elite sports wallet with an 87% long-run win rate and $2.3M profit is buying Seattle despite only a modest market move.
$1,434Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 9.0 - 87% serial sports winner
Sharp sports bettor with an 87% win rate and $2.3M lifetime profit bought $3.4K of Seattle Mariners at 61¢.
$3,395Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 9.0 - 91% winner on MLB
Sharp sports wallet with a 91% record and strong lifetime profit bought $3.1k of Seattle despite a liquid market.
$3,100Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 6.0 - Profitable sports wallet moved price
A high-volume sports wallet bought Padres -2.5 at 56¢ in a thin market and the price has since jumped to 78¢, suggesting meaningful price-moving conviction despite only a modest historical edge.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 4.9 - Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader put $5.5k on the Padres in a quiet market, a bet over 5x the market’s 24h volume.
$5,476Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 2.8 - Profitable sports regular
Large Mariners buy from a highly profitable, high-volume sports bettor, though the alert score is modest and the market is fairly liquid.
$29,364Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 2.0 - Profitable bettor caught move
Moderately interesting because a large, profitable sports bettor bought Padres -2.5 at 56¢ before a sharp move to 78¢ in a thin market.
$2,165Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 1.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x7a8885…41cc$29,364 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0xd48a81…6e90$5,476 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0xbd14b6…d62a$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x27f738…44b0$4,828 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 88% wins
- 0xa7425e…68c5$3,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0xdbdd45…a5de$2,165 · 1 market · 1 alert · 52% wins
- 0xbfd770…f0bf$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 52% wins
FAQs
What are the Padres vs. Mariners odds on Polymarket?
The live Polymarket odds reflect the market-implied chances of the San Diego Padres or Seattle Mariners winning the game. Check the event hub for current prices and movement across the traded outcomes.
What is the smart money doing on Padres vs. Mariners?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,476 in smart money activity on this event from one signal, including activity tied to a profitable serial sports bettor.
Who can win this Padres vs. Mariners market?
This event resolves to San Diego Padres if the Padres win the game, or Seattle Mariners if the Mariners win. If the game is canceled with no make-up or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.
When does the Padres vs. Mariners prediction market resolve?
The market is tied to the May 16 MLB game and is expected to resolve after the game is completed. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the make-up game is played.