Part of: San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners

Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for May 16 at 7:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,665.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable sports wallet moved price

A high-volume sports wallet bought Padres -2.5 at 56¢ in a thin market and the price has since jumped to 78¢, suggesting meaningful price-moving conviction despite only a modest historical edge.

  • This active bettor is up $47k across more than 5,800 resolved trades.
  • Their $1.5k buy was large for this quiet market and helped push Padres from 56¢ to 78¢.
  • Entry at 56¢ implies they saw a much better chance than the market was pricing.

$1,500 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 52%

Profitable bettor caught move

Moderately interesting because a large, profitable sports bettor bought Padres -2.5 at 56¢ before a sharp move to 78¢ in a thin market.

  • This active sports bettor is up $116K lifetime across more than 24,000 resolved bets.
  • They bought Padres -2.5 at 56¢ before the market jumped to 78¢.
  • The bet was meaningful for a thin market, with a wide spread and only about $11K total volume.

$2,165 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 52%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5268...135d Seattle Mariners, $6,557 (53% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Seattle Mariners, $4,717 (73% win rate)
  3. 0x9ce3...1a0d Seattle Mariners, $1,000
  4. 0xe401...7b88 Seattle Mariners, $1,000 (65% win rate)
  5. 0xefde...6505 Seattle Mariners, $67 (50% win rate)
  6. 0xa9f5...937f Seattle Mariners, $43
  7. 0x2ecb...7645 Seattle Mariners, $40
  8. 0xda77...683f Seattle Mariners, $32
  9. 0x0905...e5c0 Seattle Mariners, $15
  10. 0xa04d...1488 Seattle Mariners, $11

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Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)

ResolvedSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$3,665 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
San Diego Padres
100¢
Seattle Mariners
0¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for May 16 at 7:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

SD
7
27-18
Final
SEA
4
22-25
SD +144SEA -175O/U 7Polymarket: 100¢
Venue
T-Mobile Park, Seattle
Attendance
44,207
Price History — “San Diego Padres
102¢
59¢
16¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)

3h ago

$1,500 on San Diego Padres at 56¢

56¢100¢44¢

Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)

3h ago

$2,165 on San Diego Padres at 56¢

56¢100¢44¢

Related Theses