Event

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

16 signals across 5 markets · $176,789 tracked · resolves Aug 22, 2026

Follow the Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros prediction market for the full range of game outcomes, including which team wins and the market’s 50-50 treatment of a tie or canceled game. PolySpotter is tracking $5,000 in smart-money activity, including an alert showing a 93%-win-rate bettor adding to the Astros.

SEA
7
57-66
Final
HOU
10
63-60
SEA +111HOU -119O/U 8
Venue
Daikin Park, Houston
Attendance
30,582

Markets (5)

  1. Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)3 signals · $96,655 tracked
  2. Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros10 signals · $56,669 tracked
  3. Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)1 signal · $16,165 tracked
  4. Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros1 signal · $6,252 tracked
  5. Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.51 signal · $1,047 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Linked cluster buying Astros spread

    Three linked wallets concentrated $16.2K into Houston in an exceptionally thin market, creating a notable coordinated signal despite mixed trader quality and some existing positions.

    $16,165Score: 8.5
  2. Serial trader scaling into No

    A proven high-volume serial trader is adding $6,252 to an existing No position in a relatively quiet first-inning market.

    $6,252Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 6.5
  3. Whale scaling into Mariners at 39¢

    A highly profitable high-volume wallet is adding over $21,000 to Seattle in an exceptionally thin market amid a 667x volume spike, though its modest 54% win rate limits confidence.

    $48,327Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 6.3
  4. Three-wallet Astros accumulation

    Three wallets added $8,775 to Houston positions during a 14.7x volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated signal despite mixed wallet quality.

    $8,775Score: 5.9
  5. 95% winner scaling into Houston

    A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a Houston Astros position during a major volume spike despite the price moving against it.

    $1,973Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.8
  6. 95% winner scaling into Houston

    A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a Houston Astros position during a major volume spike despite the price moving against it.

    $1,385Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4
  7. 93% win-rate bettor adds to Astros

    A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor with a 93% win rate is adding $5,000 to an existing Houston Astros position at 54%.

    $5,000Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.4
  8. Whale scaling into Mariners at 39¢

    A highly profitable high-volume wallet is adding over $21,000 to Seattle in an exceptionally thin market amid a 667x volume spike, though its modest 54% win rate limits confidence.

    $27,734Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 5.1
  9. Astros position scaled after sharp breakout

    An established bettor added to a large Astros position as the market made a sharp 31-point breakout, with related positioning across five event markets.

    $10,592Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 5.1
  10. Serial cross-market Astros bettor

    A high-volume serial cross-market bettor added $12.2K to an existing Astros position amid a 42.9x event-volume spike, though the wallet's 54% record does not show a clear edge.

    $12,208Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 4.9

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x526852135d$136,191 · 2 markets · 9 alerts · 54% wins
  2. 0xe1a24214b8$6,252 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
  3. 0xc0df195974$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
  4. 0x161a7f4103$3,359 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 95% wins
  5. 0xdc41c3dd7e$1,047 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Mariners vs. Astros odds on Polymarket?

The live Polymarket odds show the market’s current probability for a Seattle Mariners win versus a Houston Astros win. Odds can change as traders update their positions.

What is the Mariners vs. Astros prediction market?

It is a Polymarket market covering the outcome of the upcoming MLB game. It resolves to Seattle Mariners if Seattle wins and Houston Astros if Houston wins; a tie or fully canceled game resolves 50-50 under the listed rules.

What is smart money betting on in the Mariners vs. Astros market?

PolySpotter has tracked $5,000 in smart-money activity and one signal. The latest alert reports that a bettor with a 93% win rate added to the Astros.

When does the Mariners vs. Astros market resolve?

The game is scheduled for August 14 at 8:10 PM ET. If postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed, with resolution expected by August 22, 2026, at 12:10 AM UTC unless the game is canceled or otherwise settled under the market rules.