Part of: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros, scheduled for August 14 at 8:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Houston Astros". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Houston Astros". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $96,655.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Whale scaling into Houston

A large, concentrated Houston position in a relatively thin sports market is worth surfacing, though the wallet's historical edge is modest and the price has since moved sharply.

  • The bettor committed $14,101 to Houston across two buys, including a $5,966 entry at just 47¢.
  • The position was built in a thin market, with the trade volume reportedly exceeding the recent 24-hour baseline by more than 10x.
  • Houston has since risen to roughly 90¢, corroborating the bettor's direction, though the wallet's 54% win rate does not establish a strong long-term edge.

$20,593 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 55%

Whale scaling into Mariners at 39¢

A highly profitable high-volume wallet is adding over $21,000 to Seattle in an exceptionally thin market amid a 667x volume spike, though its modest 54% win rate limits confidence.

  • This wallet is up $2.9M lifetime and added more than $21,000 to Seattle’s spread outcome.
  • The buying drove a 667x spike over normal volume in a market with only $745 traded over 24 hours.
  • Seattle is available around 39¢, but the wallet’s 54% win rate is not strong enough to treat this as a proven sharp-bettor signal.

$48,327 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 55%

Whale scaling into Mariners at 39¢

A highly profitable high-volume wallet is adding over $21,000 to Seattle in an exceptionally thin market amid a 667x volume spike, though its modest 54% win rate limits confidence.

  • This wallet is up $2.9M lifetime and added more than $21,000 to Seattle’s spread outcome.
  • The buying drove a 667x spike over normal volume in a market with only $745 traded over 24 hours.
  • Seattle is available around 39¢, but the wallet’s 54% win rate is not strong enough to treat this as a proven sharp-bettor signal.

$27,734 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 55%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 — Seattle Mariners, $300 (64% win rate)
  2. 0x95f5...779f — Seattle Mariners, $272
  3. 0xa337...eebb — Seattle Mariners, $19
  4. 0x0f20...5d31 — Seattle Mariners, $11
  5. 0x1cdd...e595 — Seattle Mariners, $10
  6. 0x3be0...4fcc — Seattle Mariners, $5
  7. 0x6ae9...14fe — Seattle Mariners, $5
  8. 0xeab7...b389 — Seattle Mariners, $5
  9. 0xf530...68ed — Seattle Mariners, $5
  10. 0xca75...05a6 — Seattle Mariners, $4

Related Theses

Orioles edge Dodgers low-scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Red Sox win a low-scoring nail-biter

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Yankees win a low-scoring game

Covers 7 related markets

Boston Red Sox win the game

Covers 7 related markets

Royals win a low-scoring nail-biter

Covers 4 related markets

White Sox win a low-scoring game

Covers 7 related markets

Cubs win a close, seven-run game

Covers 5 related markets

Mariners win a low-scoring game

Covers 5 related markets

Royals win a low-scoring game

Covers 4 related markets

Giants win a one-run, 8-run game

Covers 6 related markets

Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros$96,655 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Seattle Mariners
0¢
Houston Astros
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros, scheduled for August 14 at 8:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Houston Astros". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Houston Astros". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

SEA
7
57-66
Final
HOU
10
63-60
SEA +111HOU -119O/U 8Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Daikin Park, Houston
Attendance
30,582

Notable Trades

Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)

2026-08-15 01:04 UTC

$20,593 on Houston Astros at 56¢

56¢→100¢↑44¢

Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)

2026-08-15 01:00 UTC

$48,327 on Seattle Mariners at 39¢

Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)

2026-08-15 00:47 UTC

$27,734 on Seattle Mariners at 39¢

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Orioles edge Dodgers low-scoring
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Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Ange…Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-…Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Ange…
Red Sox win a low-scoring nail-biter
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Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blu…Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blu…Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blu…
Yankees win a low-scoring game
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Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5…Seattle Mariners vs. New York …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …
Boston Red Sox win the game
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Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: …Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: …
Royals win a low-scoring nail-biter
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Kansas City Royals vs. Los Ang…Kansas City Royals vs. Los Ang…Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1…
White Sox win a low-scoring game
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Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesot…Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesot…
Cubs win a close, seven-run game
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New York Yankees vs. Chicago C…Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5…New York Yankees vs. Chicago C…
Mariners win a low-scoring game
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Seattle Mariners vs. Houston A…Seattle Mariners vs. Houston A…Seattle Mariners vs. Houston A…
Royals win a low-scoring game
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Kansas City Royals vs. Los Ang…Kansas City Royals vs. Los Ang…Kansas City Royals vs. Los Ang…
Giants win a one-run, 8-run game
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Fran…Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Fran…Spread: San Francisco Giants (…