MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry
7 signals across 1 market · $72,003 tracked · resolves May 17, 2026
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry is a prediction market on the official winner of the scheduled May 16, 2026 fight. Traders are pricing whether Diaz or Perry wins, with the market resolving 50-50 if the bout ends in a draw, no contest, cancellation, or qualifying postponement. PolySpotter has tracked $10,000 in smart money activity, including a quiet-market Perry whale signal.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp funded Perry cluster
Strong Perry buy cluster led by a highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet, linked funding, major volume spike, and rapid price move before the fight.
$13,563Score: 28.6 - Profitable new fight whale
A very profitable 12-day-old repeat whale is making a $20.5k Diaz bet amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$20,500Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 13.4 - 93% win-rate fight bettor
A highly profitable 93% win-rate bettor with extensive cross-market history bought $5,000 of Perry amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 11.5 - 91% winner joining Diaz wave
Elite 91% win-rate bettor bought $20.5k of Diaz amid a major volume spike and 5-wallet one-sided flow.
$20,500Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 8.7 - New profitable repeat bettor
A 1-day-old wallet with repeat flagged bets and early profit is buying Perry at 61¢, suggesting fresh conviction despite a short track record.
$1,220Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 4.5 - Well-timed Perry surge
A repeat large-bet wallet bought Perry at 69¢ just before a rapid 24-point move to 93¢, suggesting well-timed event-driven conviction despite a mixed historical win rate.
$1,221Wallet win rate: 47%Score: 3.4 - Quiet-market Perry whale
A single $10k Perry buy dwarfs this very quiet fight market's recent volume, suggesting concentrated conviction despite only a modest wallet track record.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x1b6266…db9c$20,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xa49bec…4c40$20,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x997d42…decf$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0x690248…b4ca$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xacb206…b989$1,221 · 1 market · 1 alert · 47% wins
- 0xe964f9…03cb$1,220 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
FAQs
What are the Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry odds on Polymarket?
The Polymarket odds reflect how traders are pricing the chance that Nate Diaz or Mike Perry is officially declared the winner. This event hub tracks the market price, liquidity, and smart money activity around both fighters.
What is the smart money doing on Diaz vs. Perry?
PolySpotter has tracked $10,000 in smart money across this event, with a recent alert highlighting a quiet-market whale position on Mike Perry. That suggests at least one notable bettor has been accumulating Perry exposure without broad market attention.
How does the Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry market resolve?
The market resolves to Diaz if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner, and to Perry if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is a draw, technical draw, no contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, it resolves 50-50.
When does the Diaz vs. Perry prediction market resolve?
The fight is scheduled for May 16, 2026, and the market is listed to resolve by May 17, 2026, based on official fight-result information.
Why follow a prediction market for Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry?
Prediction markets update continuously as bettors react to news, weigh-ins, injuries, and smart money moves. For this fight, PolySpotter adds context by surfacing notable trader activity, including whale signals that may not be obvious from price alone.