Part of: MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $72,003.
Categories: Mike Perry, Nate Diaz, UFC, Combat Sports, Sports
Notable Trades
Well-timed Perry surge
A repeat large-bet wallet bought Perry at 69¢ just before a rapid 24-point move to 93¢, suggesting well-timed event-driven conviction despite a mixed historical win rate.
- This bettor entered Perry at 69¢ before the market jumped to 93¢ within minutes.
- The trade helped drive a sharp 24-point move in under 4 minutes.
- The wallet is up about $82k lifetime, though its overall hit rate is only 47%.
$1,221 on Perry | Wallet win rate: 47%
91% winner joining Diaz wave
Elite 91% win-rate bettor bought $20.5k of Diaz amid a major volume spike and 5-wallet one-sided flow.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades across 1,566 bets and is up $277k lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $60k total, with this trader adding $20.5k on Diaz.
- Diaz has moved from this 41¢ entry to 48¢ as pre-fight volume spiked over 400x.
$20,500 on Diaz | Wallet win rate: 87%
Sharp funded Perry cluster
Strong Perry buy cluster led by a highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet, linked funding, major volume spike, and rapid price move before the fight.
- A bettor who wins 95% of resolved positions and is up $630,949 bought $7,007 of Perry at 60¢.
- Nine wallets share the same funder, with four wallets buying $13,563 of Perry in the same window.
- The market saw a 345x volume spike and Perry jumped about 24 points in 3 minutes.
$13,563 on Perry
Profitable new fight whale
A very profitable 12-day-old repeat whale is making a $20.5k Diaz bet amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This 12-day-old wallet is already up $334,894 and has won all 5 resolved bets.
- It has been flagged 18 times for large new-wallet bets, with $119,160 total flagged.
- Buying $20.5k of Diaz at 41¢ during a 998x pre-event volume spike.
$20,500 on Diaz | Wallet win rate: 100%
93% win-rate fight bettor
A highly profitable 93% win-rate bettor with extensive cross-market history bought $5,000 of Perry amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $278K lifetime.
- They have traded 144 events with the same strong record, making the wallet itself the main signal.
- Perry was bought at 60¢ during a nearly 998x volume spike before the fight.
$5,000 on Perry | Wallet win rate: 95%
New profitable repeat bettor
A 1-day-old wallet with repeat flagged bets and early profit is buying Perry at 61¢, suggesting fresh conviction despite a short track record.
- This wallet is less than 2 days old but is already up $2,979 on one resolved bet.
- It has now been flagged twice, with $5,517 in total notable betting activity.
- Buying Perry at 61¢ suggests a clear lean in a liquid fight market.
$1,220 on Perry | Wallet win rate: 100%
Quiet-market Perry whale
A single $10k Perry buy dwarfs this very quiet fight market's recent volume, suggesting concentrated conviction despite only a modest wallet track record.
- A $10k buy is almost 18x the market’s entire 24-hour volume.
- This bettor is modestly profitable, up $6.4k across 79 resolved bets.
- Entry at 61¢ implies they see Perry as clearly undervalued versus the current 59% odds.
$10,000 on Perry | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0xc58d...9373 — Outcome 84681870, $86,166 (57% win rate)
- 0xa5e3...4d7e — Outcome 84681870, $6,000 (19% win rate)
- 0xdefe...f93d — Outcome 84681870, $4,784 (81% win rate)
- 0x7310...8d54 — Outcome 84681870, $4,100
- 0x293a...e786 — Outcome 84681870, $2,803
- 0x357b...8052 — Outcome 84681870, $2,250
- 0xe7ca...a175 — Outcome 84681870, $2,000 (27% win rate)
- 0xb3f3...3426 — Outcome 84681870, $1,993 (77% win rate)
- 0x31c6...6657 — Outcome 84681870, $1,896 (71% win rate)
- 0x38e5...95e7 — Outcome 84681870, $1,827 (77% win rate)
