Event

Heat vs. Cavaliers

19 signals across 4 markets · $215,790 tracked · resolves Mar 27, 2026

Heat vs. Cavaliers is an NBA prediction-market event covering the March 27 matchup, including the moneyline winner, Cavaliers -5.5 spread, and over/under totals around 241.5 and 242.5 points. PolySpotter tracks smart money activity across all related markets, with $215,790 in tracked bets and 19 smart money signals for this game.

MIA
39-35
Rocket Arena
CLE
46-28
Draft Kings
Spread: CLE -5.5O/U: 240.5ML: +180/-218
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Markets (4)

  1. Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)6 signals · $104,348 tracked
  2. Heat vs. Cavaliers8 signals · $76,775 tracked
  3. Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.53 signals · $23,176 tracked
  4. Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.52 signals · $11,491 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)

    Three wallets piled $41k into Heat +5.5 right at the close in a thin live market, including one bettor with a 97% win rate and another up $1.37M lifetime.

    $41,000Score: 16.0
  2. Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5

    Three wallets, including two elite high-volume sports bettors with 91% and 98% win rates, simultaneously bought Over at 46¢ in a thin market during a massive pregame volume spike.

    $15,016Score: 15.8
  3. Heat vs. Cavaliers

    Three wallets piled into Heat around 33-34¢, including a bettor with an 81% win rate and $1.5M profit, while market volume surged over 100x its norm.

    $16,294Score: 12.6
  4. Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)

    A proven sharp bettor with a 96% win rate and nearly $1.9M in profit just made a $13.5k bet that exceeded the market’s full 24h volume in a thin NBA spread market.

    $13,498Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 12.5
  5. Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)

    A proven sharp bettor with a 97% win rate placed a large $6k live bet on Heat +5.5 just 1.3 minutes before resolution, suggesting a strong late-game edge worth following.

    $6,000Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 12.1
  6. Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)

    A highly profitable high-volume sports bettor placed a $30k bet on Heat +5.5 less than a minute before resolution in a thin market, alongside an extreme volume spike.

    $30,000Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 11.7
  7. Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5

    A newly created wallet from a large 19-wallet funded cluster made a sizable 50¢ buy on Under, and the shared funding pattern suggests coordinated conviction worth tracking.

    $3,160Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 11.5
  8. Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5

    A proven sharp wallet with a 95% win rate and $767k profit bought Over at 49¢ during an extreme pregame volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being fairly liquid.

    $4,940Wallet win rate: 50%Score: 11.0
  9. Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)

    A proven sharp bettor with a perfect 66-for-66 resolved record and over $1.0M profit just put $8,000 on Heat in a relatively thin spread market.

    $8,000Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 8.4
  10. Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)

    A proven high-stakes winner with a perfect 66-for-66 resolved record just placed a $5.85k bet on Heat +5.5 in a relatively thin market, making this a strong copy-trade signal.

    $5,850Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 8.3

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x08c59843ed$30,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
  2. 0x6e82b9752c$27,220 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 76% wins
  3. 0x8a3ab8eb9a$13,850 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 100% wins
  4. 0x59a0749a09$13,498 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
  5. 0x145544e5cd$12,158 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 83% wins
  6. 0xf9885dd63b$11,154 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
  7. 0x4435a10840$9,940 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 50% wins
  8. 0x32ed51f960$6,551 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
  9. 0x6e12ee20e9$6,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
  10. 0x479e3391c3$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins

FAQs

What markets are available for Heat vs. Cavaliers?

This event includes markets for the game winner, Cavaliers -5.5 spread, and total points over/under lines at 241.5 and 242.5. Together, they show how traders are pricing the matchup from several angles.

How much smart money is being tracked on Heat vs. Cavaliers?

PolySpotter is tracking $215,790 in smart money across the Heat vs. Cavaliers event, based on 19 signals across the related markets.

Where can I see Heat vs. Cavaliers Polymarket odds?

You can follow the live prediction-market pricing for Heat vs. Cavaliers on this event hub, including odds for the winner, spread, and total points markets.

When does the Heat vs. Cavaliers market resolve?

The market resolves after the March 27 game is completed, using the final score including overtime. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is played; if canceled with no makeup game, it resolves 50-50.