Event

Thunder vs. Spurs

158 signals across 17 markets · $1,711,197 tracked · resolves May 29, 2026

Thunder vs. Spurs is an NBA prediction market for the May 28 game, with traders pricing the chance of each team winning based on the final score, including overtime. PolySpotter is tracking $6,521 in smart money activity on this event, including a recent signal from a profitable new sports whale.

OKC
64-18
Frost Bank Center
SAS
62-20
Draft Kings
Spread: SA -3.5O/U: 218.5ML: +140/-166
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Markets (17)

  1. Thunder vs. Spurs62 signals · $1,044,571 tracked
  2. Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.521 signals · $180,553 tracked
  3. Spread: Thunder (-9.5)3 signals · $109,395 tracked
  4. Spread: Spurs (-3.5)16 signals · $89,648 tracked
  5. Spread: Spurs (-5.5)8 signals · $63,869 tracked
  6. Spread: Spurs (-8.5)6 signals · $45,465 tracked
  7. Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.512 signals · $35,733 tracked
  8. Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.56 signals · $31,869 tracked
  9. Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.54 signals · $23,161 tracked
  10. Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.53 signals · $21,761 tracked
  11. Spread: Thunder (-6.5)2 signals · $19,196 tracked
  12. Spread: Spurs (-11.5)6 signals · $15,112 tracked
  13. Spread: Spurs (-2.5)2 signals · $11,404 tracked
  14. Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.53 signals · $8,298 tracked
  15. Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.52 signals · $5,149 tracked
  16. Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline1 signal · $4,713 tracked
  17. Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.51 signal · $1,300 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Sharp cluster buying Over

    A high-scoring alert with five wallets buying Over, including multiple profitable high-volume sports bettors and a linked-wallet cluster amid a major pre-event volume spike.

    $16,483Score: 40.9
  2. Sharp-heavy Spurs cluster

    Surface: nine wallets bought $41k of Spurs, including an 89% winner up $2.2M, amid heavy cross-market activity and a major pre-game volume spike.

    $41,022Score: 32.5
  3. Linked sharp cluster on underdog

    Coordinated Thunder +3.5 buying from 7 wallets, including linked funding and several profitable high-volume bettors, makes this worth surfacing despite the price moving against them.

    $19,330Score: 28.5
  4. 23-wallet Thunder cluster

    High-confidence coordinated Thunder flow: 23 wallets bought the same side for $369k with major volume spikes, though the featured wallet has poor lifetime P&L.

    $72,235Wallet win rate: 46%Score: 27.9
  5. Profitable Spurs live-game surge

    High-conviction Spurs flow from a profitable high-volume sports trader, reinforced by 23 same-direction wallets, linked funding, a major volume spike, and near-resolution timing.

    $48,004Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 24.7
  6. Sharp cluster faded move

    High-score Thunder-side cluster includes a proven 75% bettor with +$156k profit and a serial cross-market trader, though the market has since moved sharply against their entry.

    $4,378Score: 24.0
  7. Profitable cluster buying underdog

    High-score coordinated Thunder buy led by profitable, high-volume sports wallets, including linked wallets and a $7.7M lifetime P&L bettor.

    $36,492Score: 23.9
  8. 15-wallet linked steam

    Strong coordinated Thunder buying: 15 wallets including linked funding pushed $119k one-sided flow, with this wallet adding $13k before the price moved sharply higher.

    $13,000Wallet win rate: 46%Score: 21.8
  9. Sharp live Under cluster

    Seven wallets bought $56.7k of Under near resolution, led by multiple highly profitable sharp and serial timing wallets despite some opposing Over flow.

    $56,654Score: 21.8
  10. Profitable whale plus cluster

    Strong one-sided Thunder flow from a highly profitable wallet, backed by a 15-wallet cluster and repeated pre-event volume spikes.

    $12,085Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 21.1

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xb188988d5b$176,992 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
  2. 0xfea31bd227$170,783 · 3 markets · 5 alerts · 59% wins
  3. 0x4bff30fc26$164,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
  4. 0x84cfff2f63$134,391 · 3 markets · 4 alerts · 46% wins
  5. 0x594d0c059d$58,580 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 95% wins
  6. 0xdb859a152f$40,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
  7. 0x1610dbae49$36,900 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
  8. 0xc408cfc1ef$35,328 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
  9. 0x7e3a1f3246$33,926 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 94% wins
  10. 0x127c597456$33,397 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Thunder vs. Spurs odds on Polymarket?

The Polymarket odds reflect the market-implied probability of the Thunder or Spurs winning the game. Because prices move as traders buy and sell, the latest odds can change quickly before tipoff and during market activity.

What is the smart money doing on Thunder vs. Spurs?

PolySpotter has tracked $6,521 in smart money activity on this event, with one recent signal tied to a profitable new sports whale. That activity can help show where experienced prediction-market bettors are taking a position.

How does the Thunder vs. Spurs prediction market resolve?

The market resolves to Thunder if the Thunder win and to Spurs if the Spurs win. The result is based on the final score including overtime.

What happens if Thunder vs. Spurs is postponed or canceled?

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.

When does the Thunder vs. Spurs market resolve?

The event is scheduled to resolve after the May 28 game, with resolution expected by May 29, 2026 at 00:30 UTC, depending on game completion and official results.