Part of: Thunder vs. Spurs

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

This NBA prediction market covers whether the Spurs will beat the Thunder by 4 or more points on May 28 at 8:30 PM ET. It resolves to “Spurs” if San Antonio covers the -3.5 spread; otherwise it resolves to “Thunder,” with resolution expected after the game on May 29 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $5,302 in smart money across 3 signals, including activity from sharp and profitable sports bettors.

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 28 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,302.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

97% winner buying Spurs

A highly profitable sharp wallet with a 97% resolved win rate bought Spurs -3.5 at near-even odds.

  • This bettor has won 120 of 124 resolved positions and is up $92.6K lifetime.
  • They bought Spurs -3.5 at 51¢, meaning they see edge in a market priced almost 50-50.
  • Their average winning entry is 56¢, so this 51¢ buy fits their proven betting range.

$1,319 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 97%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 64% win rate and $169k lifetime profit is buying Spurs -3.5 in a balanced market.

  • This bettor wins 64% of resolved trades and is up $169k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 38 events and 51 markets, suggesting a repeat sports-betting edge.
  • Buying Spurs at 51¢ in an even market implies they see value on the favorite covering.

$1,732 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 64%

Sharp NBA spread bettor

Sharp sports bettor with a 78% long-term win rate and $262k profit bought Thunder against the spread at even money, with a strong serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $262k lifetime.
  • They have a long sports track record across 94 events and 119 markets.
  • This $2.25k Thunder bet was larger than the market’s recent 24h volume.

$2,250 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6b97...8d30 Thunder, $4,500 (78% win rate)
  2. 0x8e5a...8f58 Spurs, $3,700 (86% win rate)
  3. 0x5268...135d Spurs, $3,532 (53% win rate)
  4. 0x3a51...b2b6 Spurs, $3,397 (64% win rate)
  5. 0x4379...2e16 Thunder, $3,000 (51% win rate)
  6. 0xb946...2671 Thunder, $3,000 (50% win rate)
  7. 0xceed...f8ee Spurs, $2,950 (40% win rate)
  8. 0x3cf6...0cbd Thunder, $2,759 (64% win rate)
  9. 0xe8c4...395d Spurs, $2,587 (97% win rate)
  10. 0x6c1d...1f8f Thunder, $1,541

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Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

1dThunder vs. Spurs$5,302 tracked3 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Spurs
51¢
Thunder
50¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 28 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

OKC
64-18
Frost Bank Center
SAS
62-20
Draft Kings
Spread: SA -3.5O/U: 219.5ML: +136/-162
Win Prob
Poly: 51¢
Last Play
Game hasn’t started
Price History — “Spurs
52¢
50¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

38m ago

$1,319 on Spurs at 51¢

51¢51¢

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

1h ago

$1,732 on Spurs at 51¢

51¢51¢

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

2h ago

$2,250 on Thunder at 50¢

50¢50¢

Related Theses

Spurs -3.5 vs Thunder Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter