Event

Spurs vs. Thunder

161 signals across 20 markets · $2,244,036 tracked · resolves May 19, 2026

Spurs vs. Thunder is an NBA prediction market for the May 18 matchup, with traders pricing which team will win after regulation and any overtime. PolySpotter is tracking $1,111 in smart money activity on this event, including a signal from a profitable sports bettor with a 77% track record.

SAS
62-20
Paycom Center
OKC
64-18
Draft Kings
Spread: OKC -7.5O/U: 219.5ML: +215/-265
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Markets (20)

  1. Spurs vs. Thunder96 signals · $1,678,293 tracked
  2. Spread: Thunder (-6.5)16 signals · $311,942 tracked
  3. Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.57 signals · $48,924 tracked
  4. Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.58 signals · $44,428 tracked
  5. Spread: Thunder (-5.5)5 signals · $38,090 tracked
  6. Spread: Thunder (-8.5)4 signals · $30,535 tracked
  7. Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.54 signals · $27,852 tracked
  8. Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.55 signals · $18,704 tracked
  9. Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.51 signal · $9,756 tracked
  10. Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline1 signal · $6,270 tracked
  11. De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.51 signal · $5,820 tracked
  12. Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.52 signals · $5,117 tracked
  13. Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.52 signals · $4,948 tracked
  14. Spread: Thunder (-14.5)2 signals · $3,500 tracked
  15. Spread: Spurs (-3.5)2 signals · $2,358 tracked
  16. Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.51 signal · $2,000 tracked
  17. 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)1 signal · $1,591 tracked
  18. Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.51 signal · $1,500 tracked
  19. Spread: Thunder (-11.5)1 signal · $1,234 tracked
  20. Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.51 signal · $1,174 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Sharp linked Spurs cluster

    A large pro-Spurs cluster is backed by linked wallets, sharp historical winners, and a major price move despite some opposing Thunder flow.

    $236,053Score: 35.0
  2. 10-wallet whale cluster

    A large 10-wallet cluster put $618K on Thunder around 68¢, backed by several profitable high-volume traders and a major pre-game volume spike.

    $618,077Score: 26.8
  3. 12-wallet Spurs wave

    A large 12-wallet Spurs wave with sharp-profitable bettors drove a 17-point move despite some opposing Thunder flow.

    $89,202Score: 26.4
  4. Linked sharp cluster buying underdog

    A 12-wallet Thunder cluster includes linked wallets and several profitable sports bettors, but the market has since moved hard against them and there is also larger opposing Spurs flow.

    $67,782Score: 25.5
  5. Pro sports sharps aligned

    Four wallets, including highly profitable sports bettors with 93% and 72% long-term win rates, bought $20.3k of Spurs against the spread amid a 266x volume spike.

    $20,270Score: 24.4
  6. 15-wallet funded Thunder cluster

    High-conviction one-sided Thunder buying from a 15-wallet funded cluster, including a profitable serial cross-market bettor, makes this worth surfacing despite the current pullback.

    $6,395Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 21.6
  7. Elite bettor backing underdog Spurs

    Elite 92% winning sports bettor with $834k profit bought Spurs at 31¢ alongside concentrated same-side flow from four wallets.

    $5,000Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 21.5
  8. 92% winner backing Spurs

    Elite 92% win-rate wallet with $834k profit bought Spurs alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

    $9,000Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 21.2
  9. 92% sharp joins Thunder cluster

    Elite 92% win-rate wallet sold Spurs, equivalent to buying Thunder at 16¢, alongside a large linked one-sided Thunder cluster.

    $8,400Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 21.1
  10. Sharp cluster buying Under

    A highly profitable 98% win-rate bettor led a $25.9k coordinated buy on Under, supported by one-sided cluster flow and serial cross-market sports traders.

    $25,945Score: 20.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x971a4b447d$93,869 · 1 market · 1 alert
  2. 0x94d71dbef5$61,171 · 1 market · 10 alerts · 87% wins
  3. 0x6db568e279$52,503 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 52% wins
  4. 0xc80756c12b$51,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
  5. 0xfe787d0319$50,255 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 63% wins
  6. 0x8f8c0ee275$45,900 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
  7. 0x3dfb15abaf$44,093 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 47% wins
  8. 0x3da479367e$43,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
  9. 0x52f5ef5e8a$40,800 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
  10. 0xd12321d341$39,235 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 72% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Spurs vs. Thunder odds on Polymarket?

The Spurs vs. Thunder market reflects live prediction-market odds for which team will win the game. Prices can move as traders react to injuries, lineups, news, and smart money activity.

What is the smart money doing on Spurs vs. Thunder?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,111 in smart money activity across this event, including one recent signal tied to a profitable 77% sports bettor.

How does the Spurs vs. Thunder prediction market resolve?

The market resolves to Spurs if San Antonio wins and to Thunder if Oklahoma City wins, based on the final score including overtime. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

What happens if Spurs vs. Thunder is canceled?

If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50 according to the listed rules.