Part of: Spurs vs. Thunder
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
16 smart money signals detected, totaling $311,942.
Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball
Notable Trades
Profitable live-sports cluster
Three experienced, profitable sports wallets bought Spurs +6.5 together near the end of the game, with the price moving from 47¢ to 58¢ afterward.
- Three seasoned bettors with over $1.5M combined lifetime profit all bought Spurs +6.5 the same way.
- The cluster entered at 47¢ and the market quickly moved to 58¢, suggesting their read was immediately validated.
- One wallet is a serial cross-market sports trader across 227 events with $1.3M tracked volume.
$11,569 on Spurs
89% winner buying Thunder
Sharp bettor with an 89% win rate and over $1M lifetime profit bought $21.2k of Thunder -6.5 at 53¢.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up about $1.05M lifetime.
- They put $21.2k on Thunder -6.5 at 53¢, showing clear conviction despite a very liquid market.
- Entry at 53¢ implies they see Thunder covering as better than a near coin flip.
$21,200 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 88%
99% win-rate sports sharp
Elite sharp sports wallet with a 99% resolved win rate and $384,750 profit bought $5,000 of Thunder -6.5 at 52¢.
- This bettor has won 91 of 92 resolved positions and is up $384,750 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 139 events with a 99% hit rate.
- Entry at 52¢ suggests they see Thunder -6.5 as underpriced despite a liquid market.
$5,000 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 99%
Proven NBA spread bettor
Surfacing despite a low composite score because the wallet has a strong 78% resolved win record with positive P&L and is buying Thunder at near-even odds.
- This bettor has won 78% of resolved trades and is up about $9,008 lifetime.
- They are buying Thunder at 51¢, near even money, after beating typical odds by a wide margin historically.
- The market is very liquid, so this is more about following the bettor’s track record than unusual market movement.
$1,020 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 78%
94% winning sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 94% record and strong lifetime profit bought Thunder -6.5 at 51¢.
- This bettor wins 94% of tracked bets and is up $78,236 lifetime.
- They have 131 resolved positions with an average entry near 49¢, suggesting a strong track record on coin-flip-priced markets.
- Entry at 51¢ implies they see Thunder -6.5 as underpriced despite a very liquid market.
$2,040 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 78% resolved win rate and +$260k P&L is making a $45.9k Thunder spread bet at near-even odds.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $260k lifetime.
- They have traded across 40 events with a 78% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- The $45.9k entry at 51¢ is a large near-even bet on Thunder covering -6.5.
$45,900 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 78%
90% winner backs spread
Proven sharp sports bettor with a 90% win rate and nearly $947k profit bought $20.4k of Thunder -6.5 at 51¢ amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up about $947k lifetime.
- They put $20.4k on Thunder -6.5 at 51¢, implying they see a close-to-even spread as mispriced.
- This is a serial cross-market trader across 157 events with a 90% hit rate.
$20,400 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 91%
97% win-rate NBA bettor
Sharp NBA spread bettor with a 38-1 resolved record is buying Thunder at 51¢ amid a large pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor has won 38 of 39 resolved trades and is up $38.9K lifetime.
- They are buying Thunder at 51¢, near even odds, despite the market already seeing a 29x pre-game volume spike.
- Their past wins came at roughly 50¢ average odds, suggesting a strong record on coin-flip-style markets.
$2,040 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 97%
Linked wallets pile into Thunder
Three wallets, including two linked by funder and one highly profitable veteran, bought $66k of Thunder spread shares during a 31.5x pre-game volume spike.
- Three wallets bought $66k on the same side, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- The main buyer has $1.76M lifetime profit across more than 5,000 resolved bets.
- Market volume is surging 31.5x ahead of the game, suggesting strong pre-event momentum.
$66,016 on Thunder
Profitable serial sports whale
Profitable high-volume serial trader bought $51k of Thunder -6.5 at 51¢ despite only a modest cross-market signal.
- This bettor is up $2.7M lifetime across 458 resolved bets.
- They have traded 304 events and $11.9M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
- The $51k buy at 51¢ is a sizable conviction bet on Thunder covering by 7+.
$51,000 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0xc807...c12b — Outcome 42924942, $100,000 (56% win rate)
- 0x8f8c...e275 — Outcome 42924942, $90,000 (78% win rate)
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 42924942, $81,774 (62% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 42924942, $75,048 (57% win rate)
- 0xabb8...bba3 — Outcome 42924942, $74,259 (50% win rate)
- 0xf1f4...544c — Outcome 42924942, $40,000 (88% win rate)
- 0xbd14...d62a — Outcome 42924942, $40,000 (95% win rate)
- 0x16bb...8492 — Outcome 42924942, $40,000 (91% win rate)
- 0xf689...9d83 — Outcome 42924942, $39,973 (91% win rate)
- 0x2ef0...df4a — Outcome 42924942, $29,907 (100% win rate)
Related Theses
Timberwolves upset in shootout
Covers 4 related markets
Royals beat Tigers tonight
Covers 1 related market
