Event

Spurs vs. Thunder

166 signals across 18 markets · $2,473,898 tracked · resolves May 21, 2026

This Spurs vs. Thunder event tracks the prediction market for the May 20 NBA game, with traders pricing whether San Antonio or Oklahoma City wins after regulation and any overtime. PolySpotter has tracked $86,087 in smart money activity, including a recent sharp 7-wallet cluster backing the Thunder.

SAS
62-20
Paycom Center
OKC
64-18
Draft Kings
Spread: OKC -7.5O/U: 213.5ML: +210/-258
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Markets (18)

  1. Spurs vs. Thunder72 signals · $1,520,627 tracked
  2. Spread: Thunder (-6.5)14 signals · $256,303 tracked
  3. Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.514 signals · $181,810 tracked
  4. Spread: Thunder (-7.5)10 signals · $91,260 tracked
  5. Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.510 signals · $88,502 tracked
  6. Spread: Thunder (-8.5)8 signals · $64,063 tracked
  7. Spread: Thunder (-5.5)3 signals · $54,136 tracked
  8. Spread: Thunder (-11.5)6 signals · $47,186 tracked
  9. Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.55 signals · $43,680 tracked
  10. Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.56 signals · $31,559 tracked
  11. Spread: Thunder (-14.5)3 signals · $29,532 tracked
  12. Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.52 signals · $17,041 tracked
  13. Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.52 signals · $14,435 tracked
  14. Spread: Thunder (-2.5)3 signals · $13,510 tracked
  15. Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline2 signals · $10,439 tracked
  16. Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.54 signals · $6,248 tracked
  17. Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.51 signal · $2,450 tracked
  18. Spread: Spurs (-3.5)1 signal · $1,119 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Sharp 26-wallet Thunder cluster

    Large one-sided Thunder flow is backed by several highly profitable sports bettors and coordinated wallet activity, despite some opposing Spurs money.

    $147,246Score: 49.0
  2. 24-wallet sharp Spurs cluster

    A $155K, 24-wallet Spurs buy cluster includes several high-win-rate serial traders, though the price has moved sharply against them.

    $155,071Score: 37.6
  3. Sharp cluster fading move

    Surface despite the adverse price move because the Under cluster includes multiple highly profitable bettors, including two 88% winners, but note the stronger opposing Over flow.

    $71,553Score: 28.9
  4. Profitable serial bettor buying

    Surfaced because a highly profitable serial sports trader is the largest Spurs buyer, though the signal is mixed by opposing Thunder flow.

    $19,436Score: 26.1
  5. Profitable cluster buying Over

    Five wallets, including highly profitable sports bettors, bought $10k of Over at 47¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike and cross-market positioning.

    $10,004Score: 22.3
  6. Sharp 12-wallet Thunder cluster

    A high-score 12-wallet cluster put $67K on Thunder -7.5, including several highly profitable sports traders with 88–96% historical win rates.

    $67,348Score: 22.0
  7. 93% sharp backs Under

    Surface because a 93% winner with nearly $1M lifetime profit is part of a coordinated Under buy, though there is meaningful opposing Over flow.

    $8,752Score: 21.9
  8. Sharp cluster buying Thunder

    Surfaced because a large 18-wallet Thunder cluster includes highly profitable sports bettors, led by a 90% winner up nearly $1M lifetime, despite meaningful opposing Spurs flow.

    $66,018Score: 20.3
  9. Sharp cluster buying Under

    Surface this because multiple highly profitable sports wallets, including an 86% winner up $850K, clustered $46.8K on Under near game resolution despite opposing Over momentum.

    $46,805Score: 20.2
  10. Sharp wallet in Thunder cluster

    Sharp 90% winning wallet joined a large 22-wallet one-sided Thunder move that has already pushed the price from 66¢ to 74¢.

    $1,400Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 20.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xfea31bd227$602,704 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 59% wins
  2. 0xdb859a152f$130,000 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 81% wins
  3. 0x52f5ef5e8a$89,581 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
  4. 0x9ac253be3d$56,080 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 80% wins
  5. 0xa1fbe354d0$55,000 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 89% wins
  6. 0x3dfb15abaf$46,477 · 3 markets · 3 alerts · 47% wins
  7. 0x7e3a1f3246$43,420 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
  8. 0x5555dd2af1$36,237 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
  9. 0xbd14b6d62a$30,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
  10. 0x27f73844b0$29,622 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 88% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Spurs vs. Thunder prediction market odds?

The market prices the chance of either the Spurs or Thunder winning the game, with odds moving as traders buy and sell each outcome before and during the matchup.

What is the smart money doing on Spurs vs. Thunder?

PolySpotter has tracked $86,087 in smart money activity on this event, including a notable sharp 7-wallet cluster on the Thunder.

How does the Spurs vs. Thunder Polymarket resolve?

The market resolves based on the final score, including overtime. If the Spurs win it resolves to Spurs; if the Thunder win it resolves to Thunder.

What happens if Spurs vs. Thunder is postponed or canceled?

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If it is canceled with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50.

When is the Spurs vs. Thunder game?

The game is scheduled for May 20 at 8:30 PM ET, with the market expected to resolve after the final result is known.