Part of: Spurs vs. Thunder
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $47,186.
Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball
Notable Trades
Profitable sports cluster
Three profitable sports bettors converged on Spurs +11.5 around 58¢ before the market moved sharply to 94¢.
- Three winning wallets all backed the Spurs side, including bettors up $3.0M, $395K, and $138K lifetime.
- One wallet wins 78% of resolved bets across 1,105 positions and has shown a strong edge at long odds.
- The cluster entered near 58¢ before the market jumped to 94¢, suggesting they caught a major mispricing.
$5,680 on Spurs
Profitable serial bettor buying
Surfaced because a highly profitable serial sports trader is the largest Spurs buyer, though the signal is mixed by opposing Thunder flow.
- The largest buyer has won 69% of 6,142 resolved bets and is up about $3.0M lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $19.4K of Spurs, and two entries near 52–54¢ are already well ahead with the market at 68¢.
- This is not one-sided overall: a larger linked group also bought $31.8K of Thunder, so the signal has real disagreement.
$19,436 on Spurs
Linked wallets buying Thunder
Coordinated Thunder buying is notable due to a $31.8k same-side cluster with linked wallets and a large pre-game volume spike, though this specific trader’s long-term P&L is not strong and the price has moved against the entry.
- Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $31.8k on Thunder, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- The market saw a 92.9x volume spike before the game, suggesting unusual pre-event interest.
- This bettor is very experienced across 507 events, but the position is now cheaper than their 51¢ entry.
$5,000 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 56%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader joined linked one-sided Thunder flow, though the market has moved sharply against the entry since the buy.
- This bettor is up $3.2M lifetime across 455 resolved markets, with $23.0M previously invested.
- Three wallets are all buying Thunder, including two linked wallets, for $31.8K total on the same side.
- The bettor paid 51¢ while the market is now around 32¢, so this is a cheaper follow only if the original thesis still holds.
$5,389 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports bettor with a strong cross-market history is buying Spurs against the spread, alongside 5-wallet same-direction flow and a sharp price move from 31¢ to 64¢.
- This bettor has won 61% of 138 resolved bets and is up $109K lifetime.
- They put nearly $9.9K on Spurs, including more buys at 65–66¢ after the price doubled.
- Five wallets are all betting Spurs the same way, adding $8.7K of one-sided flow.
$9,882 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 64%
5-wallet funded NBA bettor
A known 5-wallet funded cluster is making a meaningful Spurs spread bet on a very thin NBA market, with the active wallet showing positive lifetime P&L.
- Five wallets tied to the same funder have been seen in this cluster, suggesting one actor is deploying capital deliberately.
- This $1.8K Spurs bet is over half of the market’s 24h volume, making it a high-conviction move in a thin market.
- The active wallet is up $12.2K lifetime across 63 resolved bets.
$1,800 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0x777d...5143 — Outcome 88684692, $46,755 (60% win rate)
- 0x2003...af6f — Outcome 88684692, $4,964 (59% win rate)
- 0x228b...af4c — Outcome 88684692, $2,634
- 0xd360...2eab — Outcome 88684692, $1,722 (99% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 88684692, $1,389 (94% win rate)
- 0x6e63...1ced — Outcome 88684692, $1,111
- 0xc291...5d74 — Outcome 88684692, $1,035
- 0x53e4...6f6b — Outcome 88684692, $1,010 (78% win rate)
- 0xe4ad...795c — Outcome 88684692, $821 (76% win rate)
- 0xd0ff...24e3 — Outcome 88684692, $600 (85% win rate)
