Part of: Spurs vs. Thunder
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 20 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 12 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $47,186.
Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball
Notable Trades
Profitable sports cluster
Three profitable sports bettors converged on Spurs +11.5 around 58¢ before the market moved sharply to 94¢.
- Three winning wallets all backed the Spurs side, including bettors up $3.0M, $395K, and $138K lifetime.
- One wallet wins 78% of resolved bets across 1,105 positions and has shown a strong edge at long odds.
- The cluster entered near 58¢ before the market jumped to 94¢, suggesting they caught a major mispricing.
$5,680 on Spurs
Profitable serial bettor buying
Surfaced because a highly profitable serial sports trader is the largest Spurs buyer, though the signal is mixed by opposing Thunder flow.
- The largest buyer has won 69% of 6,142 resolved bets and is up about $3.0M lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $19.4K of Spurs, and two entries near 52–54¢ are already well ahead with the market at 68¢.
- This is not one-sided overall: a larger linked group also bought $31.8K of Thunder, so the signal has real disagreement.
$19,436 on Spurs
Linked wallets buying Thunder
Coordinated Thunder buying is notable due to a $31.8k same-side cluster with linked wallets and a large pre-game volume spike, though this specific trader’s long-term P&L is not strong and the price has moved against the entry.
- Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $31.8k on Thunder, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- The market saw a 92.9x volume spike before the game, suggesting unusual pre-event interest.
- This bettor is very experienced across 507 events, but the position is now cheaper than their 51¢ entry.
$5,000 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 56%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader joined linked one-sided Thunder flow, though the market has moved sharply against the entry since the buy.
- This bettor is up $3.2M lifetime across 455 resolved markets, with $23.0M previously invested.
- Three wallets are all buying Thunder, including two linked wallets, for $31.8K total on the same side.
- The bettor paid 51¢ while the market is now around 32¢, so this is a cheaper follow only if the original thesis still holds.
$5,389 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports bettor with a strong cross-market history is buying Spurs against the spread, alongside 5-wallet same-direction flow and a sharp price move from 31¢ to 64¢.
- This bettor has won 61% of 138 resolved bets and is up $109K lifetime.
- They put nearly $9.9K on Spurs, including more buys at 65–66¢ after the price doubled.
- Five wallets are all betting Spurs the same way, adding $8.7K of one-sided flow.
$9,882 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 71%
5-wallet funded NBA bettor
A known 5-wallet funded cluster is making a meaningful Spurs spread bet on a very thin NBA market, with the active wallet showing positive lifetime P&L.
- Five wallets tied to the same funder have been seen in this cluster, suggesting one actor is deploying capital deliberately.
- This $1.8K Spurs bet is over half of the market’s 24h volume, making it a high-conviction move in a thin market.
- The active wallet is up $12.2K lifetime across 63 resolved bets.
$1,800 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 56%
