Event

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

1 signal across 1 market · $1,162 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027

This Polymarket event tracks whether Anthropic’s next Claude Opus model will debut on the Arena.AI Text Leaderboard with a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,162 in smart money and a recent signal showing a serial trader scaling into Yes.

Markets (1)

  1. Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?1 signal · $1,162 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Serial trader scales into Yes

    A serial cross-market trader added a substantial Yes position at 72¢ in a thin market, shortly before the price rose to 83%.

    $1,162Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 4.3

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xe95e72…61f2$1,162 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the prediction-market odds for the next Claude Opus model debut?

The event’s single child market trades the probability that the next Claude Opus model will debut with an Arena.AI Text Leaderboard score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026. Check the live Polymarket market for current odds.

What is this Claude Opus prediction market measuring?

It measures whether the next newly added Anthropic Claude model labeled “Opus” reaches a score of at least 1500 on Arena.AI’s Text Leaderboard. Qualifying models may include future versions with Opus in the model label.

What is smart money doing on the Claude Opus market?

PolySpotter tracks $1,162 in smart money across this event. The latest alert headline reports that a serial trader is scaling into Yes, signaling increased buying interest in the model reaching the 1500 threshold.

When does the Claude Opus market resolve?

The market resolves based on the next qualifying Claude Opus model’s Arena.AI leaderboard score at 12:00 PM Eastern Time on the calendar date after it first appears. The event is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.