PolySpotter

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Event

Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?

1 signal across 1 market · $1,327 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether the next Claude Opus model added to Arena.AI’s Text Arena leaderboard will debut with a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026. PolySpotter is monitoring smart-money activity, including a recent Yes position from a serial cross-market trader, with $1,327 tracked across the event.

Markets (1)

  1. Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?1 signal · $1,327 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Serial cross-market trader adds to Yes

    A serial cross-market trader with 56 events made a substantial add-on bet that represented 59% of 24-hour volume, and the market subsequently rose from 71% to 80%, though the wallet lacks a clear odds-adjusted edge.

    $1,327Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 4.5

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x97ead8…3363$1,327 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins

More on this event

Cross-market thesis
Claude Opus will debut above 1480

FAQs

What are the next Claude Opus Text Arena odds?

The event’s single market covers whether the next Claude Opus model added to Arena.AI’s Text Arena leaderboard reaches at least a 1480 score by December 31, 2026. Check the live Polymarket market for the current implied odds.

What is this Claude Opus prediction market about?

It asks whether the next newly added model labeled “Opus”—including a future release or preview—will debut at 1480 or higher on the Arena.AI overall Text Arena leaderboard.

What is smart money doing on the next Claude Opus market?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,327 in smart-money activity and one signal for this event. The latest alert reports that a serial cross-market trader added to the Yes side.

When will the next Claude Opus Text Arena market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026. Under the rules, the score is evaluated at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date after the model first appears on the leaderboard.

What happens if no qualifying Claude Opus model appears?

The market follows the exchange’s resolution rules. A newly added Claude model labeled “Opus” must qualify, and the outcome depends on whether its specified Arena.AI score meets the 1480 threshold.