Event

Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut?

1 signal across 1 market · $5,000 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026

This event tracks prediction-market odds on the next xAI Grok model’s text leaderboard debut, specifically whether it reaches a score of at least 1470 on Arena.AI. PolySpotter is monitoring smart-money activity around the event, including a tracked signal from a profitable AI-market bettor.

Markets (1)

  1. Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?1 signal · $5,000 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable AI-market bettor

    A high-sample profitable wallet is putting $5k into No on a very thin, wide-spread Grok benchmark market, though its historical edge is partly from betting favorites.

    $5,000Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 3.9

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x9592ada7b8$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What is the Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut market about?

It asks whether the next xAI model with “Grok” in its displayed name will appear on the Arena.AI text leaderboard and have a score of at least 1470 by the resolution criteria.

What are the Polymarket odds for the next Grok model debut?

The live odds move as traders buy and sell Yes or No shares. This event hub tracks the market as a whole so you can follow how expectations change before the next Grok model appears.

What is the smart money doing on this Grok market?

PolySpotter has tracked $5,000 in smart-money activity across this event, including a signal from a profitable AI-market bettor. That can help show whether experienced traders are leaning toward or against a 1470+ debut.

When does this Grok prediction market resolve?

The market resolves based on the next qualifying Grok model’s Arena.AI leaderboard score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date after it first appears. The listed latest resolution date is December 31, 2026.