Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut?
1 signal across 1 market · $5,000 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds on the next xAI Grok model’s text leaderboard debut, specifically whether it reaches a score of at least 1470 on Arena.AI. PolySpotter is monitoring smart-money activity around the event, including a tracked signal from a profitable AI-market bettor.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9592ad…a7b8$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
FAQs
What is the Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut market about?
It asks whether the next xAI model with “Grok” in its displayed name will appear on the Arena.AI text leaderboard and have a score of at least 1470 by the resolution criteria.
What are the Polymarket odds for the next Grok model debut?
The live odds move as traders buy and sell Yes or No shares. This event hub tracks the market as a whole so you can follow how expectations change before the next Grok model appears.
What is the smart money doing on this Grok market?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,000 in smart-money activity across this event, including a signal from a profitable AI-market bettor. That can help show whether experienced traders are leaning toward or against a 1470+ debut.
When does this Grok prediction market resolve?
The market resolves based on the next qualifying Grok model’s Arena.AI leaderboard score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date after it first appears. The listed latest resolution date is December 31, 2026.