Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026
2 signals across 2 markets · $3,333 tracked · resolves Oct 13, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Ariel Pakes will be named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics, with Yes and No outcomes. A recent PolySpotter alert reports that a serial trader added to a No position.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Serial trader adds to No position
A profitable, highly active cross-market trader added a substantial No position in a thin market, though their win rate is not clearly above the odds they typically pay.
$2,134Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 4.3 - Serial cross-market trader backs No
A sizable No position in a very quiet market is backed by a highly active, profitable cross-market trader, though the trader's record does not show clear odds-adjusted edge.
$1,199Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x35bbba…009b$2,134 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0xa8c63f…44e8$1,199 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds on Ariel Pakes winning the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics?
The market trades Yes and No outcomes on whether Ariel Pakes will win. Check the live market for current odds, which can change as traders buy and sell.
What is smart money doing in this market?
PolySpotter tracked one smart-money signal totaling $2,134 across the event. Its recent alert says a serial trader added to a No position.
When will the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics be announced?
The prize is scheduled to be announced on October 12, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest.
How does the Ariel Pakes market resolve?
The market resolves Yes if Ariel Pakes is named a laureate in the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences' official 2026 announcement; otherwise, it resolves No.