o1 FDV above ___ one day after launch?
8 signals across 2 markets · $25,680 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2028
This event tracks Polymarket odds on whether o1’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $100 million one day after launch. Traders are pricing the post-launch FDV threshold, with PolySpotter currently flagging a repeat funded-cluster NO bet among smart money activity.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable linked wallet buying No
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved-bet record is buying No on a thin o1 FDV market, supported by linked-wallet and cross-market signals.
$1,070Wallet win rate: 41%Score: 16.1 - Profitable linked wallet buying No
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved-bet record is buying No on a thin o1 FDV market, supported by linked-wallet and cross-market signals.
$1,215Wallet win rate: 41%Score: 15.6 - Profitable linked wallet buying No
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved-bet record is buying No on a thin o1 FDV market, supported by linked-wallet and cross-market signals.
$1,195Wallet win rate: 41%Score: 13.6 - Profitable clustered No bettor
A profitable 79% winner from a repeatedly flagged funded cluster is buying No on a very thin o1 FDV market with size over 3x daily volume.
$1,049Wallet win rate: 41%Score: 12.8 - Repeat funded-cluster NO bet
A repeat-flagged newish wallet from a 3-wallet funded cluster is taking the No side on a quiet crypto FDV market, with the trade over twice the market's 24h volume.
$1,423Wallet win rate: 41%Score: 9.2 - 95% winner buying quiet market
Sharp wallet override: a 95% winner with positive P&L bought $6.6k of Yes on a relatively quiet market, nearly matching 24h volume.
$11,706Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 7.3 - 95% winner buying quiet market
Sharp wallet override: a 95% winner with positive P&L bought $6.6k of Yes on a relatively quiet market, nearly matching 24h volume.
$6,617Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 3.0 - Profitable 83% winner
Sharp-wallet override: a profitable bettor with an 83% win rate bought Yes at 71¢ despite only a weak low-activity signal.
$1,404Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x2f28c1…ba03$18,324 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 96% wins
- 0x16351b…5624$5,952 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 41% wins
- 0x8a9777…593d$1,404 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
FAQs
What is the o1 FDV above $100M prediction market?
It is a Polymarket event on whether o1’s governance token will reach a fully diluted valuation greater than $100 million one day after launch. The FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price.
What are the current odds for o1 FDV above $100M?
The live odds move as traders buy and sell YES and NO shares. PolySpotter tracks those market prices alongside smart money activity so you can see how expectations are changing before and after launch.
What is smart money doing on this o1 FDV market?
PolySpotter has detected one smart money signal totaling about $1,423, with the recent alert showing a repeat funded-cluster NO bet. That suggests tracked wallets in this cluster are leaning against o1 clearing the $100M FDV threshold.
When does the o1 FDV market resolve?
The market resolves based on o1’s FDV at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after the token launch. The token must be publicly transferable and tradable for launch to count.