What is the o1 FDV above $100M prediction market about?

This market predicts whether o1’s governance token will reach a fully diluted valuation greater than $100 million one day after launch. If the FDV is above $100M at the specified time, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No.

How is o1’s FDV calculated for this market?

The market defines FDV as the total token supply multiplied by the token price. The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable for the launch to count.

When does this o1 Polymarket resolve?

The key measurement time is 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following o1’s token launch. The listed resolution date is January 1, 2028, but the outcome is tied to the actual launch and valuation criteria.

What smart money activity has PolySpotter tracked on this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $11,706 in smart money on this market, with 1 smart money signal. Recent alerts include repeat funded-cluster No betting and activity from a historically high-win-rate trader.

What would make this market resolve No?

The market resolves No if o1’s governance token FDV is $100 million or less at 4:00 PM ET on the day after launch, or if the launch criteria are not met according to the market rules.

Part of: o1 FDV above ___ one day after launch?

o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?

This prediction market asks whether o1’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $100 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after its public, transferable token launch. FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price, and PolySpotter is tracking $11,706 in smart money activity with 1 signal on this market. The market is listed with a resolution date of January 1, 2028, though the outcome depends on o1’s token launch timing and post-launch valuation.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,747.

Categories: Crypto, FDV, o1, Pre-Market

Notable Trades

95% winner buying quiet market

Sharp wallet override: a 95% winner with positive P&L bought $6.6k of Yes on a relatively quiet market, nearly matching 24h volume.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved bets and is up $8.9k lifetime.
They put $6.6k on Yes, about 90% of this market’s 24h volume.
Entry around 85¢ suggests strong conviction in a quiet market with limited liquidity.

$11,706 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

95% winner buying quiet market

Sharp wallet override: a 95% winner with positive P&L bought $6.6k of Yes on a relatively quiet market, nearly matching 24h volume.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved bets and is up $8.9k lifetime.
They put $6.6k on Yes, about 90% of this market’s 24h volume.
Entry around 85¢ suggests strong conviction in a quiet market with limited liquidity.

$6,617 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

Repeat funded-cluster NO bet

A repeat-flagged newish wallet from a 3-wallet funded cluster is taking the No side on a quiet crypto FDV market, with the trade over twice the market's 24h volume.

A 3-wallet funded cluster is backing the same thesis, with this wallet flagged 23 times historically.
The $1.4K No buy is more than 2x the market’s 24h volume, suggesting conviction in a quiet market.
This wallet is modestly profitable so far, up $1.2K across $196K invested.

$1,423 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

Top Holders

0x6138...97a0 — Outcome 15337213, $5,000 (51% win rate)
0x1e8e...0cc4 — Outcome 15337213, $3,398
0x7bd2...f051 — Outcome 15337213, $1,989
0x8af6...bb84 — Outcome 15337213, $1,100
0x3879...d8c3 — Outcome 15337213, $1,000
0x56c2...6219 — Outcome 15337213, $1,000
0xd680...be75 — Outcome 15337213, $557
0x9680...60ba — Outcome 15337213, $509
0xfb99...4dae — Outcome 15337213, $500
0xde79...06ab — Outcome 15337213, $404

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o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?

527do1 FDV above ___ one day after launch?$19,747 tracked3 signalsCryptoFDVo1Pre-Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of o1's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".