Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?
2 signals across 2 markets · $4,350 tracked · resolves Nov 1, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether the Republican Party’s odds of controlling the Senate fall to 25% by October 31, 2026. The market resolves Yes only if the specified odds source records four consecutive hourly values at or below the threshold; a profitable serial trader has recently added No.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial trader adding No
A profitable serial cross-market trader added a sizeable No position in a thin market, and the odds have since moved further in that direction.
$1,862Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 3.9 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A historically profitable, highly active trader placed a sizable No bet in a very quiet market, though the entry matches current odds and does not show clear mispricing.
$2,488Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 3.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x0c0e27…434e$2,488 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0x1ee9a5…197f$1,862 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
FAQs
What does this Republican Senate prediction market track?
It tracks whether the Republican Party’s Senate-control odds fall to 25% by October 31, 2026, based on hourly values published by PredictionMarketOdds.com.
What needs to happen for this market to resolve Yes?
The listed odds must meet the market’s 25% threshold for four consecutive hourly datapoints published between market creation and November 1, 2026, at 12:00 a.m. ET.
What is smart money doing in this event?
PolySpotter has tracked one smart-money signal, with a profitable serial trader adding No. The tracked smart-money total is $1,862.
When does the Republican Senate odds market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026. Its outcome depends on the qualifying hourly odds readings recorded by the stated deadline.