Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
1 signal across 1 market · $2,650 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds on whether a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire goes into effect by October 31, 2026 and lasts at least 10 consecutive calendar days. Traders are pricing the likelihood of a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, with PolySpotter tracking $2,650 in smart money activity, including a signal from a profitable serial macro bettor.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0xd44e97…67e2$2,650 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
FAQs
What are the odds of a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
The live market odds reflect how Polymarket traders are pricing the chance that Russia and Ukraine enter a qualifying ceasefire by October 31, 2026. On PolySpotter, you can monitor those odds alongside smart money activity across the event.
What does this Russia-Ukraine ceasefire market require to resolve Yes?
The market resolves Yes if a mutually agreed ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine goes into effect by 11:59 PM EET on October 31, 2026 and remains continuously in effect for at least 10 calendar days.
Who is betting on the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire prediction market?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,650 in smart money activity on this event, including a recent signal from a profitable serial macro bettor. That type of activity can help users see when experienced geopolitical or macro traders are taking a position.
What is the smart money doing on this event?
The latest tracked signal comes from a profitable serial macro bettor, suggesting that at least one historically successful macro-focused trader has taken interest in the ceasefire outcome. PolySpotter surfaces these signals so users can compare market odds with bettor behavior.
When does the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire market resolve?
The event is listed with a final resolution timeline through 2026, with the child market focused on whether a qualifying ceasefire occurs by October 31, 2026. Final resolution depends on whether the ceasefire criteria are met and verified under the market rules.