Solstice FDV above ___ one day after launch?
16 signals across 4 markets · $47,766 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027
This Polymarket event tracks whether Solstice’s governance token will reach key FDV thresholds one day after launch, with markets for above $100M and above $200M. PolySpotter is monitoring $6,337 in smart money activity across the event, including a crypto bettor buying YES and a newer wallet taking thin NO exposure.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- New linked wallet buying YES
New repeat whale wallet with linked-funder corroboration is effectively buying Yes across a Solstice FDV thesis despite limited resolved track record.
$2,470Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 14.1 - Repeat new wallet backs YES
High composite alert from a repeat new wallet with linked-wallet and cross-market positioning, effectively buying Yes on a plausibly information-sensitive crypto launch valuation market.
$1,257Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 14.1 - Linked new wallet thesis
A repeat new wallet with linked-wallet and cross-market Solstice positioning is effectively buying Yes despite the market moving against that side.
$1,213Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 13.0 - Repeat new wallet buys YES
High-score alert from a repeat new-wallet bettor, linked funding, and cross-market Solstice positioning; the SELL No converts to a BUY Yes at 18¢.
$4,892Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 13.0 - Repeat new crypto wallet
A repeat new-wallet bettor with linked funding and cross-market Solstice positioning effectively bought Yes at 34¢ before the market moved toward 40¢.
$2,116Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 12.5 - New wallet betting thin NO
A 3-day-old wallet is making a concentrated $4.1k NO bet on a thin Solstice FDV market, which could reflect event-specific crypto knowledge despite no proven track record yet.
$4,093Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 8.0 - New wallet Solstice bear
New 21-day-old wallet is making a sizable No bet and has built a $28k cross-market Solstice FDV thesis despite limited resolved track record.
$6,492Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 7.5 - New wallet’s Solstice short thesis
A 21-day-old repeat large bettor is taking a $21.6k cross-market Solstice thesis, including a $4.5k No buy that is large relative to recent volume.
$4,546Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 7.5 - New repeat Solstice bettor
A 13-day-old repeat large bettor is building positions across Solstice markets, though their short resolved history is not yet profitable.
$1,565Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 7.0 - New profitable repeat bettor
A 12-day-old repeat large bettor with early profit is adding a $2.6k No position on a crypto FDV market, alongside weak but supportive thin-market and cross-market signals.
$2,610Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 6.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x16351b…5624$31,254 · 4 markets · 10 alerts · 79% wins
- 0xd03541…dc85$5,264 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0x9701df…dd5f$4,869 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0xf0f0a2…9a41$3,009 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
- 0xc4567f…8996$1,193 · 1 market · 1 alert · 59% wins
- 0x22d33c…c969$1,126 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xf97eae…0034$1,051 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
FAQs
What are the Solstice FDV prediction market odds tracking?
The event covers two related Polymarket markets: whether Solstice’s fully diluted valuation is above $100M and whether it is above $200M one day after the token launches.
What is the smart money doing on Solstice FDV?
PolySpotter has tracked 3 smart money signals totaling $6,337 across the event. Recent alerts include an undefeated crypto bettor buying YES, while another newer wallet has been betting thin NO.
When does the Solstice FDV market resolve?
The markets resolve based on Solstice’s FDV at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after the token becomes publicly transferable and tradable. The event has a listed end date of January 1, 2027, but actual resolution depends on launch timing.
How is Solstice FDV calculated for this market?
FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable for the launch condition to count.
Where can I track Solstice FDV odds on Polymarket?
This PolySpotter event hub aggregates the Solstice FDV Polymarket odds, child markets, and smart money alerts so you can follow how traders are pricing the $100M and $200M outcomes.