Part of: Solstice FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?

This Polymarket-style prediction market asks whether Solstice’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $250 million one day after launch. FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price, and the market resolves based on the token’s value at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. PolySpotter is tracking $4,546 in smart money activity and 1 recent signal, including a new wallet’s Solstice short thesis.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,546.

Categories: Crypto, Pre-Market, Solstice, FDV

Notable Trades

New wallet’s Solstice short thesis

A 21-day-old repeat large bettor is taking a $21.6k cross-market Solstice thesis, including a $4.5k No buy that is large relative to recent volume.

  • A 21-day-old wallet has now made 18 flagged large bets totaling $36k.
  • This is part of a $21.6k position across 3 Solstice-related markets.
  • The $4.5k No buy was 73% of this market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quieter market.

$4,546 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb09d...3831 Outcome 96665081, $5,519
  2. 0x1f6a...be7e Outcome 96665081, $2,000 (72% win rate)
  3. 0xd6b6...793f Outcome 96665081, $1,500 (80% win rate)
  4. 0x56c2...6219 Outcome 96665081, $1,000
  5. 0x9786...fa14 Outcome 96665081, $754
  6. 0x8aaf...7beb Outcome 96665081, $500
  7. 0x3f06...c2f1 Outcome 96665081, $500
  8. 0x125d...0041 Outcome 96665081, $429
  9. 0x8004...cd61 Outcome 96665081, $344
  10. 0x813b...ca44 Outcome 96665081, $255

Related Theses

Laso commitments stay under $3M

Covers 9 related markets

Extended skips Q4 token launch

Covers 2 related markets

Ostium avoids midrange valuation

Covers 2 related markets

City avoids H1 2027

Covers 2 related markets

o1 FDV stays below $100M

Covers 2 related markets

FDV avoids middle range

Covers 2 related markets

BULK token launches soon

Covers 2 related markets

OpenSea FDV between $300M and $500M

Covers 2 related markets

Cambria token launches by September

Covers 2 related markets

Cap launches between $50M and $250M

Covers 2 related markets

Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?

129dSolstice FDV above ___ one day after launch?$4,546 tracked1 signalCryptoPre-MarketSolsticeFDV

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Solstice's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Solstice (https://x.com/solsticefi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Notable Trades

Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?

92d ago

$4,546 on No at 77¢

Related Theses