"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office
4 signals across 1 market · $5,843 tracked · resolves Aug 2, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Spider-Man: Brand New Day will gross more than $280 million domestically during its three-day opening weekend, July 31–August 2. PolySpotter has recorded one smart money signal across the event, including a serial trader buying Yes.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Position builder behind breakout
A wallet added to an existing Yes position during a 36.9-point breakout, making this a notable momentum trade despite limited evidence of bettor skill.
$1,155Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 5.1 - Million-dollar serial trader buys Yes
A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with 1,130 resolved bets and over $1 million in profit is buying Yes as the market trends upward, though the historical edge is modest.
$1,384Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.3 - Million-dollar serial trader buys Yes
A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with 1,130 resolved bets and over $1 million in profit is buying Yes as the market trends upward, though the historical edge is modest.
$1,043Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.3 - Million-dollar serial trader buys Yes
A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with 1,130 resolved bets and over $1 million in profit is buying Yes as the market trends upward, though the historical edge is modest.
$2,262Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xecaa88…77a9$4,688 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 72% wins
- 0x9199ba…dd2d$1,155 · 1 market · 1 alert · 52% wins
FAQs
What are the Spider-Man: Brand New Day opening weekend odds?
The event tracks the Polymarket prediction market for whether the movie’s domestic three-day opening weekend box office will exceed $280 million. Check the live market for the latest implied odds.
What outcome is being traded in this event?
The available child market asks whether Spider-Man: Brand New Day will earn more than $280 million domestically during its opening weekend from July 31 through August 2.
What is smart money betting on?
PolySpotter has tracked one smart money signal in this event. A serial trader bought Yes on the market, indicating a position favoring an opening weekend above $280 million.
When will the Spider-Man: Brand New Day market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after final, non-estimated three-day opening weekend figures are available, with resolution expected by August 2, 2026.
What source determines the box office result?
Resolution uses the final Daily Box Office Performance figure shown on the movie’s Box Office page at The Numbers for the July 31–August 2 three-day opening weekend.