"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
8 signals across 2 markets · $53,539 tracked · resolves Aug 31, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Spider-Man: Brand New Day will earn at least $900 million domestically by August 31, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $21,809 in smart money, including a recent whale addition to a concentrated No position.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable bettor scaling into Yes
A profitable 81% bettor is adding to a substantial Yes position alongside a linked wallet after a sharp one-day price rise.
$7,974Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 7.4 - Profitable bettor scaling into Yes
A profitable 81% bettor is adding to a substantial Yes position alongside a linked wallet after a sharp one-day price rise.
$2,681Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 6.9 - Whale adds to concentrated No position
A large wallet added $21.8K to an existing No position, with linked-wallet support and a sharp move beyond the market's prior price range despite only a middling track record.
$8,190Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 6.9 - Whale adds to concentrated No position
A large wallet added $21.8K to an existing No position, with linked-wallet support and a sharp move beyond the market's prior price range despite only a middling track record.
$4,322Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 6.9 - Whale adds to concentrated No position
A large wallet added $21.8K to an existing No position, with linked-wallet support and a sharp move beyond the market's prior price range despite only a middling track record.
$21,809Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 6.4 - High-volume bettor scaling into No
A profitable high-volume bettor made a concentrated No position in a relatively quiet market, and No subsequently rose from roughly 54% to 67%, though the wallet's edge is modest relative to its average winning price.
$4,281Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 5.3 - Profitable serial trader buys No
A highly experienced, profitable serial trader placed a fresh $2.3K bet on No, with additional positioning across the same movie event and subsequent upward momentum.
$2,313Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.3 - Profitable serial trader buys No
A highly experienced, profitable serial trader placed a fresh $2.3K bet on No, with additional positioning across the same movie event and subsequent upward momentum.
$1,969Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0x44c1df…ebc1$34,321 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 60% wins
- 0x99518f…11bd$10,655 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 81% wins
- 0xecaa88…77a9$8,563 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 72% wins
FAQs
What are the Spider-Man: Brand New Day box office odds?
The event shows live Polymarket odds on whether Spider-Man: Brand New Day reaches at least $900 million in domestic box office revenue by August 31, 2026.
What is the prediction market for Spider-Man: Brand New Day?
The market has two outcomes: the film reaches at least $900 million domestically by August 31, or it does not. The event covers the full outcome range for this box-office threshold.
What is smart money betting on in this event?
PolySpotter tracks $21,809 in smart money across the event. The latest alert reports that a whale added to a concentrated No position, indicating a notable bet against reaching the $900 million threshold.
When does the Spider-Man: Brand New Day market resolve?
The market resolves after all daily domestic box-office figures from the July 31 opening through August 31, 2026 are final. The resolution source is The Numbers' Daily Box Office Performance data.