S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?
2 signals across 1 market · $4,889 tracked · resolves May 6, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether the S&P 500 (SPX) opens higher or lower on May 6 compared with its prior trading-day close. Traders are pricing a simple up-or-down outcome, with PolySpotter tracking $4,889 in smart money activity and recent signals from profitable macro traders.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable macro serial trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 74% resolved win rate is buying SPX Up at 82¢ ahead of the open.
$1,785Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial macro trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader put a $3.1k bet on SPX opening Up in a relatively quiet market, and the price has already moved from 74¢ to 80¢.
$3,104Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x264cbb…baca$3,104 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0x9da0e7…523c$1,785 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
FAQs
What are the S&P 500 May 6 open odds on Polymarket?
The market odds reflect whether traders expect SPX to open up or down versus the previous trading day’s official close. PolySpotter tracks the live prediction-market pricing alongside smart money activity.
What outcome is being traded in this SPX prediction market?
The event resolves to “Up” if the official S&P 500 Index open price on May 6 is higher than the prior trading day’s official close, and “Down” if it is lower.
What is the smart money doing on this S&P 500 market?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,889 in smart money across this event, including recent activity flagged from profitable serial macro traders.
When does the S&P 500 open up or down market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by May 6, 2026, after the official SPX opening price can be compared with the most recent prior trading-day close.